Strong Signal 75% Confidence
T

Toftir

Home
L W D L D
3W 2D 5L ▼ Declining
VS
PP
H
HB Torshavn
Away
L W L D W
3W 2D 5L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Monday, 25th May 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 71.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +3.6% Value detected
Kelly % 12.5% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals100% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Toftir vs HB Torshavn Competition: Faroe Islands Premier League Date: Monday, 25th May 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.40 Confidence: 75% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Toftir
1
Draws
7
HB Torshavn
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Over 2.5 in 50% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Toftir
Metric
HB Torshavn
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.5
2.5
Goals Against / Game
1.9
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
3-2-5
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
30%
30%
3.9
Avg Goals
100%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
T0
0-0 2.1%
0-1 4.3%
0-2 4.3%
0-3 2.8%
0-4 1.4%
0-5 0.6%
T1
1-0 3.9%
1-1 7.9%
1-2 7.9%
1-3 5.3%
1-4 2.6%
1-5 1.1%
T2
2-0 3.6%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 7.3%
2-3 4.9%
2-4 2.4%
2-5 1.0%
T3
3-0 2.3%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 3.0%
3-4 1.5%
3-5 0.6%
T4
4-0 1.0%
4-1 2.1%
4-2 2.1%
4-3 1.4%
4-4 0.7%
4-5 0.3%
T5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-1(7.9%) 1-2(7.9%) 2-1(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip T=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Toftir
Overall
3.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
1.7
HB Torshavn
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 11%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
19.04.26PL
Toftir3
HB Torshavn1
03.10.25PL
HB Torshavn5
Toftir1
14.06.25PL
Toftir1
HB Torshavn4
07.03.25PL
HB Torshavn3
Toftir2
18.08.24PL
HB Torshavn1
Toftir0
28.06.24PL
Toftir1
HB Torshavn0
08.04.24PL
Toftir0
HB Torshavn1
04.11.23CUP
Toftir0
HB Torshavn1
30.09.23PL
HB Torshavn3
Toftir3
04.06.23PL
Toftir0
HB Torshavn2
Recent Form
Toftir
17.05.26PL
Toftir1
Klaksvik4
L
10.05.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
Toftir2
W
03.05.26PL
Toftir1
Streymur1
D
29.04.26CUP
Toftir0
Klaksvik3
L
26.04.26PL
Vikingur2
Toftir2
D
19.04.26PL
Toftir3
HB Torshavn1
W
15.04.26CUP
Toftir7
Midvagur0
W
11.04.26PL
Klaksvik6
Toftir1
L
04.04.26PL
Toftir1
NSI Runavik2
L
21.03.26PL
B36 Torshavn6
Toftir0
L
HB Torshavn
18.05.26PL
HB Torshavn3
Streymur4
L
14.05.26CUP
HB Torshavn2
Vikingur1
W
08.05.26PL
NSI Runavik2
HB Torshavn1
L
03.05.26PL
HB Torshavn1
AB Argir1
D
29.04.26CUP
HB Torshavn3
B36 Torshavn1
W
26.04.26PL
HB Torshavn0
Klaksvik2
L
19.04.26PL
Toftir3
HB Torshavn1
L
15.04.26CUP
HB Torshavn2
Sandur0
W
12.04.26PL
Streymur1
HB Torshavn2
W
06.04.26PL
HB Torshavn2
B36 Torshavn2
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Faroe Islands Premier League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 2.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.40. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Toftir vs HB Torshavn?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 75%.
What is Toftir's current form?
Toftir have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has HB Torshavn been performing recently?
HB Torshavn have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Toftir lead with 2 wins versus HB Torshavn's 7, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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