U
U Catolica W
Home
W
W
W
W
W
8W 0D 2L
→ Steady
VS
—
10:00 pm
U
U. De Concepcion W
Away
D
L
D
D
L
3W 3D 4L
▲ Improving
Implied Prob
76.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-8.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.30
BTTS — No70%
U Catolica W Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
U Catolica W vs U. De Concepcion W
Competition: Chile Primera Division Women
Date: Saturday, 27th June 2026
KO: 10:00 pm
Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals)
Odds: 1.30
Confidence: 68%
Also: BTTS — No (70%)
Also: U Catolica W Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
5
U Catolica W
0
Draws
0
U. De Concepcion W
5
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
U Catolica W
Metric
U. De Concepcion W
1.9
Goals For / Game
1
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.5
70%
Clean Sheets
20%
8-0-2
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
2.5
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
U0
U1
U2
U3
U4
U5
U0
0-0
8.2%
0-1
6.6%
0-2
2.6%
0-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
U1
1-0
14.0%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
4.5%
1-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
1-5
0.0%
U2
2-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
2-3
1.0%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.0%
U3
3-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
U4
4-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
U5
5-0
1.0%
5-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(14.0%)
2-0(11.9%)
1-1(11.2%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
U=Home goals ↓ U=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
19%
Home Win & BTTS No
45%
Draw & BTTS Yes
4%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
7%
Away Win & BTTS No
17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
26%
Home Win & Under 2.5
38%
Draw & Over 2.5
5%
Draw & Under 2.5
7%
Away Win & Over 2.5
10%
Away Win & Under 2.5
14%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
U. De Concepcion0
U. Catolica3
U. De Concepcion1
U. Catolica7
U. Catolica2
U. De Concepcion1
U. Catolica2
U. De Concepcion0
U. De Concepcion1
U. Catolica3
Recent Form
U Catolica W
Palestino0
U. Catolica1
U. Catolica7
Deportes Temuco1
Coquimbo0
U. Catolica1
U. Catolica3
Magallanes0
Deportes Iquique0
U. Catolica1
Recoleta0
U. Catolica3
U. Catolica0
Colo-Colo2
U. Catolica1
Huachipato0
U. De Chile3
U. Catolica1
U. Catolica1
S. Wanderers0
U. De Concepcion W
U. De Concepcion1
Deportes Iquique1
U. Espanola1
U. De Concepcion0
U. De Concepcion1
Palestino1
S. Wanderers0
U. De Concepcion0
U. De Concepcion0
Colo-Colo7
Huachipato1
U. De Concepcion0
U. De Concepcion3
Deportes Temuco0
U. De Chile2
U. De Concepcion0
U. De Concepcion3
Recoleta1
Magallanes1
U. De Concepcion2
U Catolica W (Home)
U. Catolica7
Deportes Temuco1
U. Catolica3
Magallanes0
U. Catolica0
Colo-Colo2
U. Catolica1
Huachipato0
U. Catolica1
S. Wanderers0
U. Catolica2
U. Espanola0
U. Catolica3
Coquimbo3
U. Catolica2
Huachipato0
U. Catolica3
Recoleta0
U. Catolica0
Colo-Colo1
U. De Concepcion W (Away)
U. Espanola1
U. De Concepcion0
S. Wanderers0
U. De Concepcion0
Huachipato1
U. De Concepcion0
U. De Chile2
U. De Concepcion0
Magallanes1
U. De Concepcion2
Coquimbo2
U. De Concepcion0
U. De Chile1
U. De Concepcion0
A. Italiano1
U. De Concepcion6
Deportes Iquique1
U. De Concepcion2
Palestino2
U. De Concepcion0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 27th June 2026, U Catolica W host U. De Concepcion W in Chile Primera Division Women. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.
U Catolica W arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.
U. De Concepcion W are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour U Catolica W, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to U. De Concepcion W's 0, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.
Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Chile Primera Division Women match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 5 wins from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 2.5 at @1.30, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 10:00 pm over at the host venue.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for U Catolica W vs U. De Concepcion W?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is U Catolica W's current form?
U Catolica W have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has U. De Concepcion W been performing recently?
U. De Concepcion W have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
U Catolica W lead with 5 wins versus U. De Concepcion W's 0, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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