LOST Tip LOST Ulfstind 3-0 Floya
U

Ulfstind

Home
L L L L L
1W 1D 8L ▲ Improving
VS
3-0
F
Floya
Away
L W W W W
6W 3D 1L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Thursday, 11th June 2026
2
Backing Floya to win
Ulfstind 20%
Draw 30%
Floya 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 74.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -21.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Floya to win
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Ulfstind vs Floya Competition: Norway Div 3 G5 Date: Thursday, 11th June 2026 Pick: 2 (Floya to win) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 53% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (80%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Ulfstind
1
Draws
2
Floya
4
Meetings
4.8
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Neutral Floya won 2 of 4 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Ulfstind
Metric
Floya
1.7
Goals For / Game
2.5
2.9
Goals Against / Game
1.4
0%
Clean Sheets
10%
1-1-8
W — D — L
6-3-1
Win Rate
10%
60%
4.3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
U0
0-0 1.4%
0-1 3.9%
0-2 5.2%
0-3 4.7%
0-4 3.2%
0-5 1.7%
U1
1-0 2.2%
1-1 6.0%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 7.3%
1-4 4.9%
1-5 2.6%
U2
2-0 1.7%
2-1 4.6%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 5.6%
2-4 3.8%
2-5 2.1%
U3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 2.4%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 2.9%
3-4 2.0%
3-5 1.1%
U4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.8%
4-5 0.4%
U5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(8.1%) 1-3(7.3%) 2-3(5.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip U=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Ulfstind Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Floya Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Ulfstind
Overall
1.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
0.3
Floya
Overall
6.9
Scoring
8.3
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Home Win & BTTS No 2%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 54%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 9%
Home Win & Under 2.5 2%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 54%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.10.25D3
Ulfstind4
Floya2
03.04.25D3
Floya2
Ulfstind0
20.10.24DIV
Ulfstind4
Floya4
28.04.24DIV
Floya3
Ulfstind0
Recent Form
Ulfstind
30.05.26DIV
Skjervoy2
Ulfstind0
L
25.05.26DIV
Ulfstind1
Finnsnes3
L
14.05.26DIV
Ulfstind1
Stromsgodset 23
L
09.05.26DIV
Bossekop2
Ulfstind1
L
02.05.26DIV
Ulfstind3
Kongsvinger 24
L
25.04.26DIV
Skjetten5
Ulfstind3
L
18.04.26DIV
Alta4
Ulfstind0
L
12.04.26DIV
Ulfstind5
Skedsmo2
W
06.04.26DIV
Fauske Sprint3
Ulfstind3
D
26.10.25D3
Skjervoy1
Ulfstind0
L
Floya
30.05.26DIV
Floya2
Skedsmo3
L
23.05.26DIV
Bossekop2
Floya5
W
14.05.26DIV
Floya3
Kongsvinger 21
W
09.05.26DIV
Skjetten1
Floya3
W
02.05.26DIV
Floya2
Harstad1
W
25.04.26DIV
Floya4
Skjervoy1
W
19.04.26DIV
Tromso 22
Floya3
W
11.04.26DIV
Floya0
Alta0
D
06.04.26DIV
Finnsnes2
Floya2
D
26.10.25D3
Floya1
Funnefoss/Vormsund1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 11th June 2026, Ulfstind host Floya in Norway Div 3 G5. We recommend Floya to win as the standout selection.

Ulfstind arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Floya are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 3D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Ulfstind, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Floya's 2, with 1 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: floya to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Norway Div 3 G5 match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.35. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ulfstind vs Floya?
Our selection is 2 — Floya to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Ulfstind's current form?
Ulfstind have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches.
How has Floya been performing recently?
Floya have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ulfstind lead with 1 wins versus Floya's 2, with 1 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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