Moderate Signal 58% Confidence
V

Vaduz

Home
W L W W W
7W 1D 2L โ†’ Steady
VS
โ€”
6:30 pm
โ€”
Rheinpark Stadion (Vaduz)
A
Atletic Escaldes
Away
W W W W L
6W 1D 3L โ†’ Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection ยท Thursday, 23rd July 2026
1
Backing Vaduz to win
Vaduz 50%
Draw 30%
Atletic Escaldes 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -18.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ€” Vaduz to win
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals85% BTTS โ€” Yes70%
๐Ÿ“‹ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Vaduz vs Atletic Escaldes Competition: Conference League Qualifiers Date: Thursday, 23rd July 2026 KO: 6:30 pm Pick: 1 (Vaduz to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 58% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS โ€” Yes (70%)
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Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Vaduz
Metric
Atletic Escaldes
2
Goals For / Game
2
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.2
10%
Clean Sheets
40%
7-1-2
W โ€” D โ€” L
6-1-3
Win Rate
70%
60%
3.3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
๐ŸŽฏ
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
V0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 6.4%
0-2 5.3%
0-3 2.9%
0-4 1.2%
0-5 0.4%
V1
1-0 6.2%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 8.5%
1-3 4.6%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.6%
V2
2-0 5.0%
2-1 8.2%
2-2 6.8%
2-3 3.7%
2-4 1.5%
2-5 0.5%
V3
3-0 2.7%
3-1 4.4%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
V4
4-0 1.1%
4-1 1.8%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
V5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(8.2%) 1-0(6.2%) 2-0(5.0%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts tip V=Home goals โ†“   A=Away โ†’
๐Ÿ“‰
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Vaduz Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Atletic Escaldes Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Vaduz
Overall
7.3 โ–ผ
Scoring
6.7 โ–ผ
Defence
5.7 โ–ผ
Atletic Escaldes
Overall
6.3 โ–ผ
Scoring
6.7 โ–ผ
Defence
6.0 โ–ผ
๐Ÿ”€
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 34%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ“œ
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Vaduz
17.07.26CF
Lugano1
Vaduz2
W
10.07.26CF
Altach1
Vaduz0
L
04.07.26CF
Vaduz1
A. Lustenau0
W
27.06.26CF
Kriens1
Vaduz2
W
15.05.26CL
Wil1
Vaduz3
W
11.05.26CL
Vaduz1
Aarau2
L
08.05.26CL
Etoile-Carouge1
Vaduz2
W
05.05.26CUP
Vaduz4
Eschen/Mauren3
W
02.05.26CL
Vaduz2
Lausanne Ouchy2
D
24.04.26CL
Stade Nyonnais1
Vaduz3
W
Atletic Escaldes
16.07.26UECL
Mornar Bar1
Atletic Escaldes2
W
09.07.26UECL
Atletic Escaldes2
Mornar Bar1
W
23.05.26CUP
FC Santa Coloma2
Atletic Escaldes3
W
17.05.26PD
Atletic Escaldes2
Penya0
W
10.05.26PD
Inter Escaldes3
Atletic Escaldes1
L
30.04.26CUP
Atletic Escaldes2
Inter Escaldes1
W
26.04.26PD
Atletic Escaldes3
Carroi0
W
11.04.26PD
FC Rangers3
Atletic Escaldes1
L
22.03.26PD
Atletic Escaldes0
Ordino0
D
11.03.26CUP
Atletic Escaldes5
Esperanca0
W
๐Ÿ“
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 23rd July 2026, Vaduz host Atletic Escaldes at Rheinpark Stadion (Vaduz) in Conference League Qualifiers. We recommend Vaduz to win as the standout selection.

Vaduz arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Atletic Escaldes are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: vaduz to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this Conference League Qualifiers match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.31, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 6:30 pm over at Rheinpark Stadion (Vaduz).

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ€” but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

โ“
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Vaduz vs Atletic Escaldes?
Our selection is 1 โ€” Vaduz to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Vaduz's current form?
Vaduz have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Atletic Escaldes been performing recently?
Atletic Escaldes have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game.
โš ๏ธ
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