V
Viking
Home
L
D
W
W
W
8W 1D 1L
→ Steady
VS
—
5:00 pm
—
Lyse Arena (Stavanger)
S
Sandefjord
Away
D
L
D
L
W
4W 3D 3L
→ Steady
Viking
50%
Draw
30%
Sandefjord
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
78.1%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-14.1%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
7
Viking
1
Draws
2
Sandefjord
10
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Viking won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Viking
Metric
Sandefjord
2.5
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
8-1-1
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
2.9
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
V0
0-0
5.5%
0-1
5.8%
0-2
3.0%
0-3
1.1%
0-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
V1
1-0
10.2%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
5.6%
1-3
2.0%
1-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
V2
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
V3
3-0
5.8%
3-1
6.1%
3-2
3.2%
3-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
V4
4-0
2.7%
4-1
2.8%
4-2
1.5%
4-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
V5
5-0
1.0%
5-1
1.0%
5-2
0.6%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(10.2%)
2-1(9.9%)
2-0(9.4%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
V=Home goals ↓ S=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Viking Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Sandefjord Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
31%
Home Win & BTTS No
26%
Draw & BTTS Yes
8%
Draw & BTTS No
6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
16%
Away Win & BTTS No
13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
31%
Home Win & Under 2.5
26%
Draw & Over 2.5
8%
Draw & Under 2.5
6%
Away Win & Over 2.5
16%
Away Win & Under 2.5
13%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Sandefjord1
Viking2
Viking3
Sandefjord1
Viking3
Sandefjord2
Sandefjord0
Viking3
Viking4
Sandefjord3
Sandefjord1
Viking2
Sandefjord2
Viking2
Viking1
Sandefjord2
Viking2
Sandefjord1
Sandefjord3
Viking0
Recent Form
Viking
Sarpsborg 081
Viking0
Sonderjyske1
Viking1
Kristiansund1
Viking2
Viking6
Start3
KFUM Oslo0
Viking2
Viking3
Rosenborg0
Fredrikstad1
Viking2
Viking3
Brann2
Viking5
Bodo/Glimt0
Valerenga0
Viking1
Sandefjord
Sandefjord2
HamKam2
Molde2
Sandefjord1
Sandefjord1
Fredrikstad1
Lillestrom3
Sandefjord1
Sandefjord2
Kristiansund0
Sandefjord1
Aalesund0
Tromso3
Sandefjord1
Sandefjord0
Rosenborg0
Brann0
Sandefjord1
KFUM Oslo1
Sandefjord2
Viking (Home)
Viking6
Start3
Viking3
Rosenborg0
Viking3
Brann2
Viking5
Bodo/Glimt0
Viking3
Haugesund0
Viking4
Molde1
Viking1
Aalesund2
Viking2
Sarpsborg 080
Viking4
AIK1
Viking4
Start0
Sandefjord (Away)
Molde2
Sandefjord1
Lillestrom3
Sandefjord1
Tromso3
Sandefjord1
Brann0
Sandefjord1
KFUM Oslo1
Sandefjord2
Stromsgodset2
Sandefjord2
Valerenga1
Sandefjord0
Valerenga5
Sandefjord2
Lillestrom1
Sandefjord2
Stromsgodset2
Sandefjord6
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 18th July 2026, Viking host Sandefjord at Lyse Arena (Stavanger) in Norway Eliteserien. We recommend Viking to win as the standout selection.
Viking arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Sandefjord are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Viking, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Sandefjord's 2, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.
Our verdict: viking to win at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Norway Eliteserien match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.28, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 5:00 pm over at Lyse Arena (Stavanger).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Viking vs Sandefjord?
Our selection is 1 — Viking to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Viking's current form?
Viking have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sandefjord been performing recently?
Sandefjord have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Viking lead with 7 wins versus Sandefjord's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.