LOST
Tip LOST
Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Watford
S
Sheffield Wednesday
Home
L
L
L
L
L
0W 0D 5L
→ Steady
VS
1-1
W
Watford
Away
W
L
W
D
L
2W 1D 2L
→ Steady
Sheffield Wednesday
20%
Draw
30%
Watford
50%
H Fair Odds
5
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
2
Implied Prob
69.4%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-25.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Watford to win
1.44
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Sheffield Wednesday vs Watford
Competition: Championship
Date: Tuesday, 10th March 2026
Pick: 2 (Watford to win)
Odds: 1.44
Confidence: 44%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Sheffield Wednesday
3
Draws
2
Watford
5
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Against Tip
Watford won 2 of 5 meetings.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Sheffield Wednesday
Metric
Watford
0.8
Goals For / Game
1.2
2.2
Goals Against / Game
1.2
0%
Clean Sheets
20%
0-0-5
W — D — L
2-1-2
Win Rate
2.7
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
W0
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
S0
0-0
6.7%
0-1
11.4%
0-2
9.7%
0-3
5.5%
0-4
2.3%
0-5
0.8%
S1
1-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
1-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
S2
2-0
3.4%
2-1
5.7%
2-2
4.9%
2-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
S3
3-0
1.1%
3-1
1.9%
3-2
1.6%
3-3
0.9%
3-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
S4
4-0
0.3%
4-1
0.5%
4-2
0.4%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
S5
5-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
0-1(11.4%)
0-2(9.7%)
1-2(9.7%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
S=Home goals ↓ W=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Sheffield Wednesday Win
5
20%
Draw
3.33
30%
Watford Win
2
50%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Home Win & BTTS No
0%
Draw & BTTS Yes
12%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
48%
Away Win & BTTS No
32%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
0%
Home Win & Under 2.5
0%
Draw & Over 2.5
12%
Draw & Under 2.5
8%
Away Win & Over 2.5
48%
Away Win & Under 2.5
32%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
⚽ CHA (09.12.25): Watford1
Sheffield Wed1
⚽ CHA (03.05.25): Watford1
Sheffield Wed1
⚽ CHA (02.11.24): Sheffield Wed2
Watford6
⚽ CHA (31.01.24): Sheffield Wed0
Watford0
⚽ CHA (21.10.23): Watford1
Sheffield Wed0
Recent Form
Sheffield Wednesday
⚽ CHA (07.03.26): Derby2
Sheffield Wed1
⚽ CHA (28.02.26): Sheffield Wed1
Southampton3
⚽ CHA (25.02.26): Norwich2
Sheffield Wed0
⚽ CHA (22.02.26): Sheffield Utd2
Sheffield Wed1
⚽ CHA (14.02.26): Sheffield Wed1
Millwall2
Watford
⚽ CHA (27.02.26): Bristol City1
Watford2
⚽ CHA (24.02.26): Watford0
Ipswich2
⚽ CHA (21.02.26): Watford2
Derby0
⚽ CHA (14.02.26): Preston2
Watford2
⚽ CHA (07.02.26): Southampton1
Watford0
Match Analysis
Writeup
Sheffield Wednesday produces the absolute worst underlying metrics in the Championship, suffering a catastrophic season defined by constant defeats and defensive collapses.
Their abysmal goal difference perfectly reflects a team that cannot defend their penalty area and entirely fails to create meaningful attacking opportunities. Watford enters this fixture chasing a playoff berth, boasting significantly stronger form and vastly superior expected goals data.
Head-to-head analysis against bottom-tier teams shows Watford consistently securing maximum points to fuel their promotion push. Form watchers immediately target this fixture as a prime opportunity to fade a broken team.
Sheffield Wednesday surrenders possession easily and collapses under minimal tactical pressure. Watford will dictate the tempo, dominate all major statistical categories, and create numerous high-probability scoring chances.
Taking Watford to secure a vital away win strictly follows the overwhelming statistical evidence available.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Sheffield Wednesday vs Watford?
Our selection is 2 — Watford to win, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 44%.
What is Sheffield Wednesday's current form?
Sheffield Wednesday have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches.
How has Watford been performing recently?
Watford have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Sheffield Wednesday lead with 0 wins versus Watford's 2, with 3 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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