WON
Tip WON
Kampala City 3-0 Express
K
Kampala City
Home
W
W
W
L
L
3W 0D 2L
▼ Declining
VS
3-0
E
Express
Away
D
D
D
D
D
0W 5D 0L
→ Steady
Kampala City
50%
Draw
30%
Express
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
80%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-24%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Kampala City to win
1.25
Under 2.5 Goals70%
Express Clean Sheet80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Kampala City vs Express
Competition: Uganda Premier League
Date: Wednesday, 11th March 2026
Pick: 1 (Kampala City to win)
Odds: 1.25
Confidence: 56%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%)
Also: Express Clean Sheet (80%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Kampala City
0
Draws
2
Express
5
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Kampala City won 3 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kampala City
Metric
Express
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.2
1.2
Goals Against / Game
0.2
20%
Clean Sheets
80%
3-0-2
W — D — L
0-5-0
Win Rate
1.5
Avg Goals
50%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
K0
0-0
22.3%
0-1
15.6%
0-2
5.5%
0-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
K1
1-0
17.9%
1-1
12.5%
1-2
4.4%
1-3
1.0%
1-4
0.2%
1-5
0.0%
K2
2-0
7.1%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
2-5
0.0%
K3
3-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
3-2
0.5%
3-3
0.1%
3-4
0.0%
3-5
0.0%
K4
4-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
4-3
0.0%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
K5
5-0
0.1%
5-1
0.0%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(17.9%)
2-0(7.1%)
2-1(5.0%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
K=Home goals ↓ E=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Kampala City Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Express Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
22%
Home Win & BTTS No
33%
Draw & BTTS Yes
18%
Draw & BTTS No
27%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Away Win & BTTS No
0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
17%
Home Win & Under 2.5
39%
Draw & Over 2.5
14%
Draw & Under 2.5
32%
Away Win & Over 2.5
0%
Away Win & Under 2.5
0%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
A tight ⚽ PL encounter on (23.10.25): saw Kampala City edge Express: Express0
Kampala City.1
Kampala City delivered a dominant ⚽ PL performance on (24.05.25): cruising past Express with a clear victory: Express0
Kampala City.3
Express claimed an important away win in the ⚽ PL fixture on (07.12.24): against Kampala City: Kampala City0
Express.1
A thrilling, high-scoring ⚽ PL showdown on (10.02.24): saw Kampala City narrowly defeat Express in a seven-goal encounter: Express3
Kampala City.4
Express secured another away victory in the ⚽ PL on (08.10.23): overcoming Kampala City at their home ground: Kampala City1
Express.2
Recent Form
Kampala City
⚽ PL (06.03.26): Kampala City2
Police1
⚽ PL (02.03.26): Buhimba0
Kampala City2
⚽ PL (18.02.26): Kampala City2
BUL1
⚽ PL (13.02.26): NEC FC3
Kampala City1
⚽ PL (30.01.26): Kampala City0
Entebbe UPPC1
Express
⚽ PL (07.03.26): Villa0
Express0
⚽ PL (04.03.26): Express1
Maroons1
⚽ PL (18.02.26): Calvary0
Express0
⚽ PL (14.02.26): Express0
Entebbe UPPC0
⚽ PL (31.01.26): NEC FC0
Express0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 11th March 2026, Kampala City host Express in Uganda Premier League. We recommend Kampala City to win as the standout selection.
Kampala City arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Express are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 5D 0L across 5 matches.
Historical meetings favour Kampala City, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Express's 2, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.
Our verdict: kampala city to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kampala City vs Express?
Our selection is 1 — Kampala City to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Kampala City's current form?
Kampala City have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
How has Express been performing recently?
Express have recorded 0 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kampala City lead with 3 wins versus Express's 2, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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