WON
Tip WON
Cork City 4-2 Kerry
C
Cork City
Home
D
W
W
W
D
8W 2D 0L
▲ Improving
VS
4-2
K
Kerry
Away
L
L
W
D
D
1W 3D 6L
→ Steady
Cork City
50%
Draw
30%
Kerry
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
78.1%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-10.1%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Cork City to win
1.28
BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Cork City vs Kerry
Competition: Ireland Division 1
Date: Monday, 6th April 2026
Pick: 1 (Cork City to win)
Odds: 1.28
Confidence: 68%
Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Cork City
1
Draws
0
Kerry
7
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
57%
BTTS
43%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Cork City won 6 of the last 7 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Cork City
Metric
Kerry
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.8
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
8-2-0
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
2.8
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
C0
0-0
6.1%
0-1
5.2%
0-2
2.2%
0-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
C1
1-0
11.9%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
4.3%
1-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
1-5
0.0%
C2
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
2-5
0.0%
C3
3-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
C4
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
4-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
C5
5-0
1.4%
5-1
1.2%
5-2
0.5%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(11.9%)
2-0(11.6%)
2-1(9.8%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
C=Home goals ↓ K=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Cork City Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Kerry Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
49%
Home Win & BTTS No
21%
Draw & BTTS Yes
15%
Draw & BTTS No
7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
6%
Away Win & BTTS No
2%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
39%
Home Win & Under 2.5
32%
Draw & Over 2.5
12%
Draw & Under 2.5
10%
Away Win & Over 2.5
4%
Away Win & Under 2.5
4%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
CF: Cork City4
Kerry FC1
CF: Kerry FC1
Cork City2
DIV: Kerry FC1
Cork City4
DIV: Cork City2
Kerry FC0
DIV: Kerry FC0
Cork City1
DIV: Cork City2
Kerry FC0
LC: Kerry FC1
Cork City (Cork won via Pens)1
Recent Form
Cork City
First Div: Finn Harps0
Cork City0
First Div: Cork City4
Athlone Town1
First Div: UC Dublin0
Cork City1
First Div: Cork City2
Longford Town1
First Div: Cobh Ramblers1
Cork City1
First Div: Cork City1
Bray Wanderers0
First Div: Wexford FC1
Cork City4
First Div: Cork City1
Treaty United0
Friendly: Cork City4
Kerry FC1
Friendly: Cork City3
Galway United1
Kerry
First Div: Kerry FC1
Cobh Ramblers2
First Div: Bray Wanderers2
Kerry FC1
First Div: Kerry FC1
Finn Harps0
First Div: Wexford FC1
Kerry FC1
First Div: Treaty United2
Kerry FC2
First Div: Kerry FC1
Longford Town1
First Div: Kerry FC0
Athlone Town1
First Div: UC Dublin2
Kerry FC1
Friendly: Cork City4
Kerry FC1
Friendly: Waterford FC3
Kerry FC2
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Monday, 6th April 2026, Cork City host Kerry in Ireland Division 1. We recommend Cork City to win as the standout selection.
Cork City arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Kerry are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Cork City, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Kerry's 0, with 1 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 57% of those meetings.
Our verdict: cork city to win at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Ireland Division 1 match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.
Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.
Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.
On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.
Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.28. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cork City vs Kerry?
Our selection is 1 — Cork City to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Cork City's current form?
Cork City have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kerry been performing recently?
Kerry have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cork City lead with 6 wins versus Kerry's 0, with 1 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 57%.
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