WON Tip WON PSV 6-1 Zwolle
P

PSV

Home
W W L L W
6W 0D 4L → Steady
VS
6-1
Z
Zwolle
Away
D L W D D
2W 5D 3L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Thursday, 23rd April 2026
1
Backing PSV to win
PSV 50%
Draw 30%
Zwolle 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 82.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -19.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — PSV to win
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
PSV vs Zwolle Competition: Eredivisie Date: Thursday, 23rd April 2026 Pick: 1 (PSV to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 63% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS — Yes (85%)
Head to Head
Record
9
PSV
0
Draws
1
Zwolle
10
Meetings
4.7
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip PSV won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
PSV
Metric
Zwolle
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.8
Goals Against / Game
1.8
10%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-0-4
W — D — L
2-5-3
Win Rate
60%
20%
3.6
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Z0
Z1
Z2
Z3
Z4
Z5
P0
0-0 2.7%
0-1 4.4%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.9%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.2%
P1
1-0 5.5%
1-1 8.7%
1-2 7.0%
1-3 3.7%
1-4 1.5%
1-5 0.5%
P2
2-0 5.5%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 7.0%
2-3 3.7%
2-4 1.5%
2-5 0.5%
P3
3-0 3.6%
3-1 5.8%
3-2 4.7%
3-3 2.5%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.3%
P4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.2%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
P5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(8.7%) 3-1(5.8%) 1-0(5.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip P=Home goals ↓   Z=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
PSV Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Zwolle Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
PSV
Overall
6.0
Scoring
7.3
Defence
4.0
Zwolle
Overall
3.5
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 48%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 20%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 3%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 43%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.10.25ERE
Zwolle0
PSV4
18.01.25ERE
Zwolle3
PSV1
26.10.24ERE
PSV6
Zwolle0
24.02.24ERE
Zwolle1
PSV7
12.11.23ERE
PSV4
Zwolle0
15.05.22ERE
Zwolle1
PSV2
16.10.21ERE
PSV3
Zwolle1
13.05.21ERE
PSV4
Zwolle2
18.10.20ERE
Zwolle0
PSV3
21.12.19ERE
PSV4
Zwolle1
Recent Form
PSV
11.04.26ERE
Sparta Rotterdam0
PSV2
W
04.04.26ERE
PSV4
Utrecht3
W
22.03.26ERE
Telstar3
PSV1
L
14.03.26ERE
PSV2
Nijmegen3
L
07.03.26ERE
PSV2
AZ Alkmaar1
W
03.03.26KNV
Nijmegen3
PSV2
L
28.02.26ERE
Heracles1
PSV3
W
21.02.26ERE
PSV3
Heerenveen1
W
13.02.26ERE
FC Volendam2
PSV1
L
08.02.26ERE
Groningen1
PSV2
W
Zwolle
12.04.26ERE
Zwolle2
Excelsior2
D
05.04.26ERE
G.A. Eagles5
Zwolle0
L
21.03.26ERE
Zwolle2
NAC Breda1
W
13.03.26ERE
Zwolle1
Groningen1
D
08.03.26ERE
Sparta Rotterdam1
Zwolle1
D
01.03.26ERE
Zwolle0
Ajax0
D
22.02.26ERE
Utrecht1
Zwolle1
D
15.02.26ERE
Heerenveen4
Zwolle2
L
07.02.26ERE
Zwolle1
FC Volendam2
L
31.01.26ERE
Zwolle4
Telstar1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 23rd April 2026, PSV host Zwolle in Eredivisie. We recommend PSV to win as the standout selection.

PSV arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Zwolle are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 5D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour PSV, who lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Zwolle's 1, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: psv to win at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Eredivisie match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.21. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for PSV vs Zwolle?
Our selection is 1 — PSV to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is PSV's current form?
PSV have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Zwolle been performing recently?
Zwolle have recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
PSV lead with 9 wins versus Zwolle's 1, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.