WON Tip WON Viking 3-0 Rosenborg
V

Viking

Home
W W W W W
8W 0D 2L → Steady
VS
3-0
R
Rosenborg
Away
D D W L W
3W 2D 5L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 1st May 2026
1
Backing Viking to win
Viking 50%
Draw 30%
Rosenborg 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 73% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -14% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Viking to win
1.37
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Viking vs Rosenborg Competition: Norway Eliteserien Date: Friday, 1st May 2026 Pick: 1 (Viking to win) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 59% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Viking
1
Draws
4
Rosenborg
10
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Neutral Viking won 5 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Viking
Metric
Rosenborg
2.5
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.5
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
8-0-2
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
80%
30%
3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
V0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
V1
1-0 10.5%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
V2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
V3
3-0 7.0%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
V4
4-0 3.5%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
V5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.5%) 2-0(10.5%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip V=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Viking Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Rosenborg Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Viking
Overall
8.0
Scoring
8.3
Defence
7.3
Rosenborg
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
31.08.25ELI
Viking2
Rosenborg1
28.06.25ELI
Rosenborg1
Viking1
16.03.25CF
Viking3
Rosenborg2
18.08.24ELI
Rosenborg2
Viking1
30.06.24ELI
Viking4
Rosenborg2
24.03.24CF
Viking5
Rosenborg0
03.12.23ELI
Viking1
Rosenborg5
10.04.23ELI
Rosenborg1
Viking0
12.03.23NMC
Viking2
Rosenborg0
04.09.22ELI
Rosenborg4
Viking1
Recent Form
Viking
25.04.26ELI
Fredrikstad1
Viking2
W
18.04.26ELI
Viking3
Brann2
W
11.04.26ELI
Viking5
Bodo/Glimt0
W
06.04.26ELI
Valerenga0
Viking1
W
25.03.26CF
Viking3
Haugesund0
W
21.03.26ELI
Viking4
Molde1
W
18.03.26NMC
Viking1
Aalesund2
L
14.03.26ELI
HamKam2
Viking1
L
07.03.26NMC
Bjarg0
Viking3
W
01.03.26CF
Viking2
Sarpsborg 080
W
Rosenborg
25.04.26ELI
Rosenborg1
Brann1
D
18.04.26ELI
Sandefjord0
Rosenborg0
D
12.04.26ELI
Rosenborg2
Sarpsborg 081
W
06.04.26ELI
Tromso2
Rosenborg0
L
26.03.26CF
Rosenborg4
Stjordals Blink1
W
22.03.26ELI
Rosenborg0
Valerenga2
L
14.03.26ELI
Molde2
Rosenborg0
L
08.03.26NMC
Bryne4
Rosenborg - L (aet)2
27.02.26CF
Rosenborg0
Valerenga1
L
24.02.26CF
Rosenborg2
Start1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 1st May 2026, Viking host Rosenborg in Norway Eliteserien. We recommend Viking to win as the standout selection.

Viking arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Rosenborg are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Viking, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Rosenborg's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: viking to win at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Norway Eliteserien match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.37. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Viking vs Rosenborg?
Our selection is 1 — Viking to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Viking's current form?
Viking have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rosenborg been performing recently?
Rosenborg have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Viking lead with 5 wins versus Rosenborg's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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