WON Tip WON Velez Mostar 1-0 Radnik Bijeljina
V

Velez Mostar

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D W D W D
5W 3D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
1-0
R
Radnik Bijeljina
Away
W D L L L
3W 3D 4L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 1st May 2026
1
Backing Velez Mostar to win
Velez Mostar 50%
Draw 30%
Radnik Bijeljina 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 69.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -22.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Velez Mostar to win
1.44
BTTS — No70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina Competition: Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH Date: Friday, 1st May 2026 Pick: 1 (Velez Mostar to win) Odds: 1.44 Confidence: 47% Also: BTTS — No (70%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Velez Mostar
2
Draws
4
Radnik Bijeljina
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Velez Mostar won 4 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Velez Mostar
Metric
Radnik Bijeljina
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.9
0.7
Goals Against / Game
0.9
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
5-3-2
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
50%
30%
2.1
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
V0
0-0 12.3%
0-1 9.8%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
V1
1-0 15.9%
1-1 12.7%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
V2
2-0 10.4%
2-1 8.3%
2-2 3.3%
2-3 0.9%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
V3
3-0 4.5%
3-1 3.6%
3-2 1.4%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
V4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 1.2%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
V5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.9%) 2-0(10.4%) 2-1(8.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip V=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Velez Mostar Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Radnik Bijeljina Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Velez Mostar
Overall
5.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.7
Radnik Bijeljina
Overall
3.9
Scoring
3.0
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 19%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.02.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina1
Velez Mostar0
09.11.25LIG
Velez Mostar1
Radnik Bijeljina0
23.08.25LIG
Radnik Bijeljina3
Velez Mostar0
13.04.25LIG
Velez Mostar3
Radnik Bijeljina2
08.02.25CUP
Velez Mostar2
Radnik Bijeljina1
29.11.24LIG
Velez Mostar2
Radnik Bijeljina1
24.08.24LIG
Radnik Bijeljina4
Velez Mostar3
15.04.22LIG
Radnik Bijeljina0
Velez Mostar0
31.10.21LIG
Velez Mostar1
Radnik Bijeljina2
08.08.21LIG
Radnik Bijeljina1
Velez Mostar1
Recent Form
Velez Mostar
25.04.26LIG
Zeljeznicar0
Velez Mostar0
D
21.04.26LIG
Velez Mostar3
Siroki Brijeg0
W
18.04.26LIG
Borac Banja Luka2
Velez Mostar2
D
15.04.26CUP
Sloga Meridian0
Velez Mostar3
W
11.04.26LIG
Velez Mostar0
Sloga Meridian0
D
08.04.26CUP
Velez Mostar3
Sloga Meridian1
W
03.04.26LIG
Velez Mostar0
Zrinjski1
L
22.03.26LIG
FK Sarajevo1
Velez Mostar0
L
15.03.26LIG
Prijedor1
Velez Mostar2
W
11.03.26CUP
Velez Mostar4
FK Sarajevo1
W
Radnik Bijeljina
25.04.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina1
Prijedor0
W
22.04.26LIG
Posusje1
Radnik Bijeljina1
D
18.04.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina1
FK Sarajevo2
L
15.04.26CUP
Zrinjski2
Radnik Bijeljina0
L
11.04.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina0
Zeljeznicar3
L
08.04.26CUP
Radnik Bijeljina0
Zrinjski0
D
04.04.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina2
Siroki Brijeg0
W
21.03.26LIG
Borac Banja Luka1
Radnik Bijeljina0
L
17.03.26CUP
Radnik Bijeljina4
Laktasi0
W
14.03.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina0
Sloga Meridian0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 1st May 2026, Velez Mostar host Radnik Bijeljina in Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH. We recommend Velez Mostar to win as the standout selection.

Velez Mostar arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Radnik Bijeljina are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Velez Mostar, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Radnik Bijeljina's 4, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: velez mostar to win at odds of 1.44 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.44. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina?
Our selection is 1 — Velez Mostar to win, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 47%.
What is Velez Mostar's current form?
Velez Mostar have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Radnik Bijeljina been performing recently?
Radnik Bijeljina have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Velez Mostar lead with 4 wins versus Radnik Bijeljina's 4, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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