U
Union Gurten
Home
W
D
W
W
W
8W 1D 1L
▼ Declining
VS
—
R
Ried
Away
L
L
W
W
W
4W 1D 5L
→ Steady
Union Gurten
50%
Draw
30%
Ried
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
74.6%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-15.6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
5
Union Gurten
3
Draws
2
Ried
10
Meetings
1.7
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Neutral
Union Gurten won 5 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Union Gurten
Metric
Ried
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.9
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
8-1-1
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
2.8
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
U0
0-0
6.1%
0-1
6.7%
0-2
3.7%
0-3
1.4%
0-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
U1
1-0
10.3%
1-1
11.4%
1-2
6.3%
1-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
U2
2-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
2-3
2.0%
2-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
U3
3-0
5.0%
3-1
5.5%
3-2
3.0%
3-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
U4
4-0
2.1%
4-1
2.3%
4-2
1.3%
4-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
U5
5-0
0.7%
5-1
0.8%
5-2
0.4%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(10.3%)
2-1(9.7%)
2-0(8.8%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
U=Home goals ↓ R=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Union Gurten Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Ried Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
28%
Home Win & BTTS No
34%
Draw & BTTS Yes
4%
Draw & BTTS No
4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
14%
Away Win & BTTS No
17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
37%
Home Win & Under 2.5
25%
Draw & Over 2.5
5%
Draw & Under 2.5
3%
Away Win & Over 2.5
18%
Away Win & Under 2.5
12%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Ried (Am)0
Union Gurten1
Union Gurten3
Ried (Am)1
Ried (Am)4
Union Gurten0
Union Gurten1
Ried (Am)0
Ried (Am)1
Union Gurten0
Ried (Am)0
Union Gurten0
Union Gurten1
Ried (Am)0
Union Gurten1
Ried (Am)0
Ried (Am)1
Union Gurten1
Ried (Am)1
Union Gurten1
Recent Form
Union Gurten
Treibach0
Union Gurten1
Union Gurten0
Weindorf St. Anna0
ASK Voitsberg0
Union Gurten1
Union Gurten3
Wolfsberger AC (Am)0
Dietach0
Union Gurten1
Union Gurten2
LASK (Am)1
Lafnitz1
Union Gurten2
Union Gurten2
Gleisdorf1
Deutschlandsberger4
Union Gurten1
Schallerbach1
Union Gurten2
Ried
Ried (Am)0
Oedt3
Atus Velden3
Ried (Am)2
Ried (Am)4
Kalsdorf2
Ried (Am)2
Treibach0
Weindorf St. Anna0
Ried (Am)2
Ried (Am)1
ASK Voitsberg4
Wolfsberger AC (Am)0
Ried (Am)0
Ried (Am)0
Dietach1
LASK (Am)4
Ried (Am)0
Sportunion Mauer2
Ried (Am)3
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Friday, 1st May 2026, Union Gurten host Ried in Austria Regionalliga Central. We recommend Union Gurten to win as the standout selection.
Union Gurten arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Ried are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Union Gurten, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Ried's 2, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.
Our verdict: union gurten to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Austria Regionalliga Central match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.
Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.
Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.
On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.
Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.34. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Union Gurten vs Ried?
Our selection is 1 — Union Gurten to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Union Gurten's current form?
Union Gurten have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ried been performing recently?
Ried have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Union Gurten lead with 5 wins versus Ried's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
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