WON Tip WON Mostaganem 0-4 Saoura
M

Mostaganem

Home
L L W L L
1W 2D 7L → Steady
VS
0-4
S
Saoura
Away
W D W W W
6W 1D 3L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Thursday, 7th May 2026
2
Backing Saoura to win
Mostaganem 20%
Draw 30%
Saoura 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 77.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -24.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Saoura to win
1.29
BTTS — No70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Mostaganem vs Saoura Competition: Algeria Ligue 1 Date: Thursday, 7th May 2026 Pick: 2 (Saoura to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 53% Also: BTTS — No (70%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Mostaganem
2
Draws
3
Saoura
6
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Saoura won 3 of 6 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Mostaganem
Metric
Saoura
0.6
Goals For / Game
1.2
2.6
Goals Against / Game
0.6
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
1-2-7
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate
10%
60%
2.5
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
M0
0-0 8.2%
0-1 15.6%
0-2 14.8%
0-3 9.4%
0-4 4.5%
0-5 1.7%
M1
1-0 4.9%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 8.9%
1-3 5.6%
1-4 2.7%
1-5 1.0%
M2
2-0 1.5%
2-1 2.8%
2-2 2.7%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.3%
M3
3-0 0.3%
3-1 0.6%
3-2 0.5%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
M4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(15.6%) 0-2(14.8%) 0-3(9.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Mostaganem Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Saoura Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Mostaganem
Overall
1.6
Scoring
2.0
Defence
1.3
Saoura
Overall
6.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
8.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 49%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 6%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 35%
Away Win & Under 2.5 35%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
15.01.26CUP
Mostaganem0
Saoura2
20.12.25DIV
Saoura3
Mostaganem2
10.05.25DIV
Saoura0
Mostaganem0
23.11.24DIV
Mostaganem1
Saoura1
18.02.12L2
Mostaganem2
Saoura1
07.10.11L2
Saoura2
Mostaganem1
Recent Form
Mostaganem
10.04.26DIV
Mostaganem0
Khenchela3
L
05.04.26DIV
CR Belouizdad7
Mostaganem0
L
17.03.26DIV
Mostaganem3
Paradou2
W
13.03.26DIV
ASO Chlef1
Mostaganem0
L
07.03.26DIV
Mostaganem0
MC Alger5
L
28.02.26DIV
ES Setif3
Mostaganem0
L
21.02.26DIV
Mostaganem2
Kabylie2
D
14.02.26DIV
Rouisset1
Mostaganem0
L
07.02.26DIV
Mostaganem0
Oran0
D
03.02.26DIV
Constantine2
Mostaganem1
L
Saoura
17.04.26DIV
Saoura3
Khenchela0
W
11.04.26DIV
Paradou1
Saoura1
D
05.04.26DIV
Saoura2
MC Alger1
W
18.03.26DIV
Kabylie0
Saoura1
W
13.03.26DIV
Saoura2
Oran0
W
08.03.26DIV
Olympique Akbou1
Saoura0
L
04.03.26CUP
USM Alger1
Saoura0
L
27.02.26DIV
Saoura1
Ben Aknoun0
W
21.02.26DIV
Saoura1
USM Alger2
W
08.02.26DIV
ASO Chlef0
Saoura1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 7th May 2026, Mostaganem host Saoura in Algeria Ligue 1. We recommend Saoura to win as the standout selection.

Mostaganem arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Saoura are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Mostaganem, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Saoura's 3, with 2 draws from 6 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: saoura to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Algeria Ligue 1 match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.29. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Mostaganem vs Saoura?
Our selection is 2 — Saoura to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Mostaganem's current form?
Mostaganem have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Saoura been performing recently?
Saoura have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Mostaganem lead with 1 wins versus Saoura's 3, with 2 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
⚠️
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