WON Tip WON Linfield 3-1 Dungannon
L

Linfield

Home
L L L W D
3W 2D 5L → Steady
VS
3-1
D
Dungannon
Away
W W L L L
3W 0D 7L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 12th May 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 71.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +4.1% Value detected
Kelly % 14.5% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.39
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Linfield vs Dungannon Competition: NIFL Premiership Date: Tuesday, 12th May 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.39 Confidence: 76% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
8
Linfield
0
Draws
2
Dungannon
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Linfield
Metric
Dungannon
1
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.5
Goals Against / Game
2.6
10%
Clean Sheets
0%
3-2-5
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate
30%
30%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
L0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 5.9%
0-2 3.8%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 8.1%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
L2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
L3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
L5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(10.5%) 2-1(9.5%) 1-0(8.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   D=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Linfield
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.0
Dungannon
Overall
3.0
Scoring
3.7
Defence
1.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.04.26NIFL
Dungannon1
Linfield3
17.02.26NIFL
Dungannon1
Linfield4
10.02.26NIFL
Linfield6
Dungannon0
10.08.25NIFL
Linfield3
Dungannon0
04.07.25CHA
Linfield0
Dungannon1
12.04.25NIFL
Linfield2
Dungannon0
24.03.25NIFL
Dungannon0
Linfield3
17.12.24NIFL
Dungannon0
Linfield1
17.08.24NIFL
Linfield3
Dungannon1
27.01.24NIFL
Linfield1
Dungannon2
Recent Form
Linfield
25.04.26NIFL
Linfield1
Cliftonville2
L
18.04.26NIFL
Linfield0
Coleraine3
L
11.04.26NIFL
Linfield0
Larne2
L
07.04.26NIFL
Dungannon1
Linfield3
W
28.03.26NIFL
Glentoran1
Linfield1
D
20.03.26NIFL
Carrick Rangers2
Linfield0
L
15.03.26LC
Glentoran0
Linfield1
W
10.03.26NIFL
Linfield3
Portadown1
W
01.03.26NIFL
Cliftonville2
Linfield0
L
24.02.26NIFL
Larne1
Linfield1
D
Dungannon
09.05.26NIFL
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2
W
06.05.26NIFL
Dungannon3
Carrick Rangers1
W
02.05.26CUP
Dungannon2
Coleraine3
L
25.04.26NIFL
Larne8
Dungannon0
L
18.04.26NIFL
Cliftonville1
Dungannon0
L
11.04.26NIFL
Glentoran5
Dungannon0
L
07.04.26NIFL
Dungannon1
Linfield3
L
03.04.26CUP
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2
W
28.03.26NIFL
Dungannon1
Coleraine2
L
21.03.26NIFL
Dungannon0
Bangor FC1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 12th May 2026, Linfield host Dungannon in NIFL Premiership. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Linfield arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Dungannon are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 0D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Linfield, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Dungannon's 2, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming NIFL Premiership match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 2.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.39. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Linfield vs Dungannon?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 76%.
What is Linfield's current form?
Linfield have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Dungannon been performing recently?
Dungannon have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Linfield lead with 8 wins versus Dungannon's 2, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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