LOST Tip LOST TS Galaxy 3-2 Mamelodi Sundowns
T

TS Galaxy

Home
D D L D L
1W 4D 5L ▲ Improving
VS
3-2
M
Mamelodi Sundowns
Away
W D W W D
7W 3D 0L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 12th May 2026
2
Backing Mamelodi Sundowns to win
TS Galaxy 30%
Draw 20%
Mamelodi Sundowns 50%
H Fair Odds 3.33
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 75.8% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -19.8% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Mamelodi Sundowns to win
1.32
Under 2.5 Goals65% Mamelodi Sundowns Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns Competition: South Africa Premiership Date: Tuesday, 12th May 2026 Pick: 2 (Mamelodi Sundowns to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 56% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Mamelodi Sundowns Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
4
TS Galaxy
1
Draws
5
Mamelodi Sundowns
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Mamelodi Sundowns won 5 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
TS Galaxy
Metric
Mamelodi Sundowns
0.7
Goals For / Game
2
1.7
Goals Against / Game
0.7
10%
Clean Sheets
60%
1-4-5
W — D — L
7-3-0
Win Rate
10%
70%
2.6
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
T0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 14.5%
0-2 13.4%
0-3 8.2%
0-4 3.8%
0-5 1.4%
T1
1-0 5.5%
1-1 10.1%
1-2 9.4%
1-3 5.8%
1-4 2.7%
1-5 1.0%
T2
2-0 1.9%
2-1 3.5%
2-2 3.3%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.4%
T3
3-0 0.5%
3-1 0.8%
3-2 0.8%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
T4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
T5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(14.5%) 0-2(13.4%) 1-2(9.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip T=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
TS Galaxy Win
30%
3.33
Draw
20%
5
Mamelodi Sundowns Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
TS Galaxy
Overall
2.2
Scoring
2.3
Defence
4.3
Mamelodi Sundowns
Overall
7.9
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Home Win & BTTS No 5%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Away Win & BTTS No 31%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 3%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 40%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
21.02.26NC
TS Galaxy2
Mamelodi Sundowns0
05.11.25PS
Mamelodi Sundowns1
TS Galaxy0
22.02.25PS
Mamelodi Sundowns4
TS Galaxy1
11.02.25PS
TS Galaxy1
Mamelodi Sundowns0
21.05.24PS
TS Galaxy1
Mamelodi Sundowns1
29.04.24PS
Mamelodi Sundowns3
TS Galaxy0
18.10.23TK
TS Galaxy3
Mamelodi Sundowns2
24.01.23PS
TS Galaxy1
Mamelodi Sundowns2
10.08.22PS
Mamelodi Sundowns0
TS Galaxy1
02.03.22PS
TS Galaxy0
Mamelodi Sundowns3
Recent Form
TS Galaxy
09.05.26PS
TS Galaxy1
Chippa Utd.1
D
06.05.26PS
Marumo Gallants1
TS Galaxy1
D
02.05.26NC
Durban City2
TS Galaxy1
L
26.04.26PS
TS Galaxy0
Magesi0
D
19.04.26PS
TS Galaxy0
Richards Bay1
L
12.04.26PS
Kaizer Chiefs2
TS Galaxy0
L
08.04.26PS
TS Galaxy1
Polokwane2
L
05.04.26NC
TS Galaxy2
Milford FC1
W
22.03.26PS
TS Galaxy0
Orlando Pirates6
L
13.03.26PS
Stellenbosch1
TS Galaxy1
D
Mamelodi Sundowns
09.05.26PS
Mamelodi Sundowns7
Siwelele4
W
06.05.26PS
Mamelodi Sundowns1
Kaizer Chiefs1
D
03.05.26PS
Mamelodi Sundowns3
Polokwane0
W
29.04.26PS
Polokwane0
Mamelodi Sundowns1
W
26.04.26PS
Richards Bay0
Mamelodi Sundowns0
D
22.04.26PS
Mamelodi Sundowns1
Stellenbosch1
D
18.04.26CL
Mamelodi Sundowns1
Esperance Tunis0
W
12.04.26CL
Esperance Tunis0
Mamelodi Sundowns1
W
07.04.26PS
Durban City0
Mamelodi Sundowns1
W
03.04.26PS
Mamelodi Sundowns4
Chippa Utd.1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 12th May 2026, TS Galaxy host Mamelodi Sundowns in South Africa Premiership. We recommend Mamelodi Sundowns to win as the standout selection.

TS Galaxy arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Mamelodi Sundowns are travelling well, with a record of 7W 3D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour TS Galaxy, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Mamelodi Sundowns's 5, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: mamelodi sundowns to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming South Africa Premiership match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.32. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our selection is 2 — Mamelodi Sundowns to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is TS Galaxy's current form?
TS Galaxy have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Mamelodi Sundowns been performing recently?
Mamelodi Sundowns have recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
TS Galaxy lead with 4 wins versus Mamelodi Sundowns's 5, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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