WON Tip WON Garliava 3-0 Kauno Zalgiris 2
G

Garliava

Home
W W W L D
4W 2D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
3-0
K
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Away
L L L L L
1W 0D 9L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 15th May 2026
1
Backing Garliava to win
Garliava 50%
Draw 30%
Kauno Zalgiris 2 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -42.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
0
Garliava
3
Draws
1
Kauno Zalgiris 2
4
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Garliava won 0 of the last 4 meetings (3 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Garliava
Metric
Kauno Zalgiris 2
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.4
Goals Against / Game
2
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-2-4
W — D — L
1-0-9
Win Rate
40%
10%
2.7
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
G0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
G1
1-0 11.1%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
G2
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
G3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
G4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
G5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.1%) 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip G=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Garliava Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Kauno Zalgiris 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Garliava
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.3
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Overall
1.0
Scoring
2.3
Defence
3.3
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Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.11.24IL
Garliava0
Kauno Zalgiris 24
21.06.24IL
Kauno Zalgiris 22
Garliava2
13.10.23IL
Garliava0
Kauno Zalgiris 20
29.05.23IL
Kauno Zalgiris 22
Garliava2
Recent Form
Garliava
09.05.26IL
BFA Vilnius1
Garliava2
W
02.05.26IL
Garliava3
Ekranas1
W
29.04.26CUP
AFK Vilnius0
Garliava3
W
24.04.26IL
Babrungas1
Garliava0
L
18.04.26IL
Garliava2
BE1 NFA2
D
04.04.26IL
Tauras Taurage2
Garliava0
L
21.03.26IL
Garliava1
Hegelmann Litauen 21
D
17.03.26IL
Garliava0
Neptunas3
W
14.03.26IL
Garliava2
Jonava0
W
27.05.25CUP
Garliava0
FK Panevezys3
L
Kauno Zalgiris 2
08.05.26IL
Ekranas1
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
02.05.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
BE1 NFA1
L
24.04.26IL
Hegelmann Litauen 22
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
19.04.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
FK Minija4
L
12.04.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Zalgiris 21
L
04.04.26IL
Jonava3
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
18.03.26IL
Atmosfera2
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
13.03.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 21
Tauras Taurage2
L
09.11.25IL
Nevezis Kedainiai4
Kauno Zalgiris 23
L
31.10.25IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Tauras Taurage1
L
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 15th May 2026, Garliava host Kauno Zalgiris 2 in Lithuania 1 Lyga. We recommend Garliava to win as the standout selection.

Garliava arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Kauno Zalgiris 2 are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 0D 9L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Garliava, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Kauno Zalgiris 2's 1, with 3 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: garliava to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Lithuania 1 Lyga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.30. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Garliava vs Kauno Zalgiris 2?
Our selection is 1 — Garliava to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 34%.
What is Garliava's current form?
Garliava have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kauno Zalgiris 2 been performing recently?
Kauno Zalgiris 2 have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Garliava lead with 0 wins versus Kauno Zalgiris 2's 1, with 3 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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