WON Tip WON Etoile Carouge 2-2 Bellinzona
E

Etoile Carouge

Home
L L W L W
5W 2D 3L → Steady
VS
2-2
B
Bellinzona
Away
L L L L W
2W 1D 7L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 15th May 2026
1X
Backing Etoile Carouge to win or draw
Implied Prob 85.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +4.5% Value detected
Kelly % 31.2% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Etoile Carouge to win or draw
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Etoile Carouge vs Bellinzona Competition: Swiss Challenge League Date: Friday, 15th May 2026 Pick: 1X (Etoile Carouge to win or draw) Odds: 1.17 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Etoile Carouge
3
Draws
3
Bellinzona
10
Meetings
3.7
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Etoile Carouge
Metric
Bellinzona
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.3
Goals Against / Game
2.7
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-2-3
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
50%
20%
3.7
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
E0
0-0 2.5%
0-1 3.5%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
E1
1-0 5.7%
1-1 8.0%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.3%
E2
2-0 6.5%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
E3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 7.0%
3-2 4.9%
3-3 2.3%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.2%
E4
4-0 2.9%
4-1 4.0%
4-2 2.8%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.1%
E5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 1.9%
5-2 1.3%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.2%) 1-1(8.0%) 3-1(7.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip E=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Etoile Carouge
Overall
5.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.7
Bellinzona
Overall
2.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
1.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 47%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
13.03.26CL
Bellinzona0
Etoile-Carouge3
31.10.25CL
Etoile-Carouge2
Bellinzona0
04.10.25CL
Bellinzona0
Etoile-Carouge3
05.04.25CL
Etoile-Carouge7
Bellinzona0
22.02.25CL
Bellinzona0
Etoile-Carouge0
22.11.24CL
Etoile-Carouge2
Bellinzona2
03.08.24CL
Bellinzona1
Etoile-Carouge1
22.05.22PRL
Bellinzona3
Etoile-Carouge2
06.03.22PRL
Bellinzona4
Etoile-Carouge1
11.09.21PRL
Etoile-Carouge2
Bellinzona4
Recent Form
Etoile Carouge
11.05.26CL
Xamax3
Etoile-Carouge0
L
08.05.26CL
Etoile-Carouge1
Vaduz2
L
03.05.26CL
Yverdon3
Etoile-Carouge5
W
24.04.26CL
Rapperswil-Jona2
Etoile-Carouge1
L
17.04.26CL
Etoile-Carouge2
Wil0
W
10.04.26CL
Etoile-Carouge1
Lausanne Ouchy1
D
07.04.26CL
Aarau1
Etoile-Carouge3
W
03.04.26CL
Etoile-Carouge0
Stade Nyonnais0
D
22.03.26CL
Wil1
Etoile-Carouge3
W
13.03.26CL
Bellinzona0
Etoile-Carouge3
W
Bellinzona
11.05.26CL
Bellinzona2
Wil4
L
08.05.26CL
Lausanne Ouchy5
Bellinzona0
L
03.05.26CL
Bellinzona2
Rapperswil-Jona4
L
26.04.26CL
Xamax2
Bellinzona1
L
18.04.26CL
Bellinzona4
Stade Nyonnais0
W
11.04.26CL
Bellinzona0
Aarau0
D
07.04.26CL
Vaduz3
Bellinzona2
L
03.04.26CL
Yverdon5
Bellinzona2
L
20.03.26CL
Bellinzona2
Lausanne Ouchy1
W
13.03.26CL
Bellinzona0
Etoile-Carouge3
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 15th May 2026, Etoile Carouge host Bellinzona in Swiss Challenge League. We recommend Etoile Carouge to win or draw as the standout selection.

Etoile Carouge arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Bellinzona are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Etoile Carouge, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Bellinzona's 3, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: etoile carouge to win or draw at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Swiss Challenge League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1X, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.17. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Etoile Carouge vs Bellinzona?
Our selection is 1X — Etoile Carouge to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Etoile Carouge's current form?
Etoile Carouge have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bellinzona been performing recently?
Bellinzona have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Etoile Carouge lead with 4 wins versus Bellinzona's 3, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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