WON Tip WON Germany W 2-0 Norway W
G

Germany W

Home
D W W W L
4W 3D 2L → Steady
VS
2-0
N
Norway W
Away
W W L W D
7W 1D 2L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 5th June 2026
1
Backing Germany W to win
Germany W 50%
Draw 30%
Norway W 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 75.8% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -22.8% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Germany W to win
1.32
Germany W Clean Sheet56%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Germany W vs Norway W Competition: Euro Women WCQ Date: Friday, 5th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Germany W to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 53% Also: Germany W Clean Sheet (56%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Germany W
2
Draws
1
Norway W
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Germany W won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Germany W
Metric
Norway W
1.9
Goals For / Game
2.1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.3
56%
Clean Sheets
40%
4-3-2
W — D — L
7-1-2
Win Rate
44%
70%
3.1
Avg Goals
68%
Over 1.5
63%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
G0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 6.9%
0-2 5.0%
0-3 2.4%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
G1
1-0 7.6%
1-1 11.0%
1-2 8.0%
1-3 3.9%
1-4 1.4%
1-5 0.4%
G2
2-0 6.1%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 3.1%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
G3
3-0 3.2%
3-1 4.7%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
G4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
G5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(8.8%) 1-0(7.6%) 2-0(6.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip G=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Germany W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Norway W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Germany W
Overall
5.4
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.4
Norway W
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 32%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.03.26WC
Norway W0
Germany4
13.04.21FI
Germany W3
Norway1
07.03.20ALG
Germany W4
Norway0
29.11.16FI
Germany W1
Norway1
11.06.15WC
Germany W1
Norway1
10.03.14ALG
Norway W1
Germany3
28.07.13EUR
Germany W1
Norway0
17.07.13EUR
Germany W0
Norway1
11.03.13ALG
Germany W2
Norway0
16.06.11FI
Germany W3
Norway0
Recent Form
Germany W
18.04.26WC
Austria W0
Germany W0
D
14.04.26WC
Germany W5
Austria W1
W
07.03.26WC
Norway W0
Germany W4
W
03.03.26WC
Germany W5
Slovenia W0
W
02.12.25UNL
Spain W3
Germany W0
L
28.11.25UNL
Germany W0
Spain W0
D
28.10.25UNL
France W2
Germany W2
D
24.10.25UNL
Germany W1
France W0
W
23.07.25EUR
Germany W0
Spain W1
L
Norway W
18.04.26WC
Slovenia W2
Norway W3
W
14.04.26WC
Norway W5
Slovenia W0
W
07.03.26WC
Norway W0
Germany W4
L
03.03.26WC
Austria W0
Norway W1
W
01.12.25FI
Denmark W0
Norway W0
D
28.11.25FI
Norway W3
Brazil W1
W
28.10.25FI
Norway W2
Japan W0
W
16.07.25EUR
Norway W1
Italy W2
L
10.07.25EUR
Norway W4
Iceland W3
W
06.07.25EUR
Norway W2
Finland W1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 5th June 2026, Germany W host Norway W in Euro Women WCQ. We recommend Germany W to win as the standout selection.

Germany W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 9 outings.

Norway W are travelling well, with a record of 7W 1D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Germany W, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Norway W's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: germany w to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Euro Women WCQ match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.32. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Germany W vs Norway W?
Our selection is 1 — Germany W to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Germany W's current form?
Germany W have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches.
How has Norway W been performing recently?
Norway W have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Germany W lead with 7 wins versus Norway W's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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