F
FC Ulaanbaatar
Home
W
L
W
W
W
8W 1D 1L
โผ Declining
VS
โ
12:00 pm
K
Khangarid
Away
L
W
W
D
L
7W 1D 2L
โฒ Improving
Implied Prob
88.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-8.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X โ FC Ulaanbaatar to win or draw
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals75%
Over 1.5 Goals95%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid
Competition: Mongolia Premier League
Date: Wednesday, 24th June 2026
KO: 12:00 pm
Pick: 1X (FC Ulaanbaatar to win or draw)
Odds: 1.13
Confidence: 80%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%)
Head to Head
Record
6
FC Ulaanbaatar
1
Draws
3
Khangarid
10
Meetings
3.9
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Neutral
Insufficient H2H data.
Stats Duel
Comparison
FC Ulaanbaatar
Metric
Khangarid
3.4
Goals For / Game
3.3
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
8-1-1
W โ D โ L
7-1-2
Win Rate
4.3
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
F0
0-0
1.4%
0-1
2.8%
0-2
2.7%
0-3
1.8%
0-4
0.9%
0-5
0.3%
F1
1-0
3.3%
1-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
1-4
2.0%
1-5
0.8%
F2
2-0
3.8%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.2%
2-3
4.7%
2-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
F3
3-0
2.9%
3-1
5.6%
3-2
5.5%
3-3
3.6%
3-4
1.7%
3-5
0.7%
F4
4-0
1.7%
4-1
3.2%
4-2
3.2%
4-3
2.1%
4-4
1.0%
4-5
0.4%
F5
5-0
0.8%
5-1
1.5%
5-2
1.5%
5-3
1.0%
5-4
0.5%
5-5
0.2%
Top Scores
2-1(7.4%)
2-2(7.2%)
1-1(6.4%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
F=Home goals โ K=Away โ
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
30%
Home Win & BTTS No
20%
Draw & BTTS Yes
4%
Draw & BTTS No
2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
26%
Away Win & BTTS No
18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
38%
Home Win & Under 2.5
13%
Draw & Over 2.5
5%
Draw & Under 2.5
2%
Away Win & Over 2.5
33%
Away Win & Under 2.5
11%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khangarid1
Khangarid1
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khangarid6
FC Ulaanbaatar2
FC Ulaanbaatar0
Khangarid0
Khangarid0
FC Ulaanbaatar2
Khangarid2
FC Ulaanbaatar1
FC Ulaanbaatar0
Khangarid3
Khangarid0
FC Ulaanbaatar2
Khangarid2
FC Ulaanbaatar5
FC Ulaanbaatar6
Khangarid0
Recent Form
FC Ulaanbaatar
Central Stallions0
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Central Stallions1
FC Ulaanbaatar0
FC Ulaanbaatar7
Khoromkhon0
FC Ulaanbaatar2
Deren0
Hunters1
FC Ulaanbaatar4
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khangarid1
FC Ulaanbaatar7
Ulaangom City1
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khovd Western0
FC Ulaanbaatar4
Khovd1
FC Ulaanbaatar1
Central Stallions1
Khangarid
Khangarid2
Deren3
Khovd Western1
Khangarid2
Khovd0
Khangarid6
Khangarid1
Central Stallions1
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khangarid1
Khangarid2
Deren1
Hunters0
Khangarid2
Khangarid6
Khoromkhon2
Khangarid5
Ulaangom City1
Khangarid6
Khovd Western0
FC Ulaanbaatar (Home)
FC Ulaanbaatar7
Khoromkhon0
FC Ulaanbaatar2
Deren0
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khangarid1
FC Ulaanbaatar7
Ulaangom City1
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khovd Western0
FC Ulaanbaatar4
Khovd1
FC Ulaanbaatar1
Central Stallions1
FC Ulaanbaatar4
Hunters0
FC Ulaanbaatar8
Ulaangom City0
FC Ulaanbaatar1
Falcons1
Khangarid (Away)
Khovd Western1
Khangarid2
Khovd0
Khangarid6
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khangarid1
Hunters0
Khangarid2
Central Stallions2
Khangarid1
Deren1
Khangarid1
Khoromkhon0
Khangarid8
Ulaangom City0
Khangarid10
Taiwan Steel4
Khangarid1
Falcons2
Khangarid1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 24th June 2026, FC Ulaanbaatar host Khangarid in Mongolia Premier League. We recommend FC Ulaanbaatar to win or draw as the standout selection.
FC Ulaanbaatar arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Khangarid are travelling well, with a record of 7W 1D 2L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour FC Ulaanbaatar, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Khangarid's 3, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.
Our verdict: fc ulaanbaatar to win or draw at odds of 1.13 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Mongolia Premier League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1X at @1.13, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 12:00 pm over at the host venue.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FC Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid?
Our selection is 1X โ FC Ulaanbaatar to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is FC Ulaanbaatar's current form?
FC Ulaanbaatar have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Khangarid been performing recently?
Khangarid have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FC Ulaanbaatar lead with 6 wins versus Khangarid's 3, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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