K
Kahibah
Home
W
D
L
L
L
3W 1D 6L
▲ Improving
VS
—
11:00 am
Fred Wright Oval (Newcastle)
A
Adamstown Rosebud
Away
D
L
W
W
D
3W 2D 5L
▲ Improving
Implied Prob
73%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+9%
Value detected
Kelly %
33.4%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals75%
Over 1.5 Goals95%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Kahibah vs Adamstown Rosebud
Competition: Australia NPL NSW
Date: Wednesday, 24th June 2026
KO: 11:00 am
Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals)
Odds: 1.37
Confidence: 82%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Kahibah
0
Draws
0
Adamstown Rosebud
1
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kahibah
Metric
Adamstown Rosebud
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.5
2.4
Goals Against / Game
2
10%
Clean Sheets
30%
3-1-6
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
3.8
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
K0
0-0
2.2%
0-1
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
0-3
2.8%
0-4
1.4%
0-5
0.5%
K1
1-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
1-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
1-5
1.0%
K2
2-0
3.8%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
2-3
4.7%
2-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
K3
3-0
2.4%
3-1
4.6%
3-2
4.5%
3-3
2.9%
3-4
1.4%
3-5
0.6%
K4
4-0
1.1%
4-1
2.1%
4-2
2.1%
4-3
1.4%
4-4
0.7%
4-5
0.3%
K5
5-0
0.4%
5-1
0.8%
5-2
0.8%
5-3
0.5%
5-4
0.2%
5-5
0.1%
Top Scores
1-1(8.1%)
1-2(7.9%)
2-1(7.5%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
K=Home goals ↓ A=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
24%
Home Win & BTTS No
16%
Draw & BTTS Yes
12%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
24%
Away Win & BTTS No
16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
30%
Home Win & Under 2.5
10%
Draw & Over 2.5
15%
Draw & Under 2.5
5%
Away Win & Over 2.5
30%
Away Win & Under 2.5
10%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Adamstown Rosebud1
Kahibah3
Recent Form
Kahibah
Kahibah4
Charlestown Azzurri1
Newcastle Olympic3
Kahibah3
Lambton J.4
Kahibah0
Cooks Hill United3
Kahibah0
Kahibah1
Broadmeadow3
Belmont Swansea Utd.6
Kahibah3
Kahibah1
Weston Bears2
Kahibah3
Valentine0
Maitland1
Kahibah2
Charlestown Azzurri1
Kahibah0
Adamstown Rosebud
Lambton J.1
Adamstown Rosebud1
Adamstown Rosebud1
Broadmeadow5
Adamstown Rosebud2
Newcastle Olympic0
Adamstown Rosebud2
Charlestown Azzurri0
Adamstown Rosebud2
Belmont Swansea Utd.2
Cooks Hill United3
Adamstown Rosebud1
Adamstown Rosebud1
Lambton J.2
Adamstown Rosebud0
Weston Bears2
Valentine0
Adamstown Rosebud3
Adamstown Rosebud2
Maitland5
Kahibah (Home)
Lambton J.1
Adamstown Rosebud1
Adamstown Rosebud1
Broadmeadow5
Adamstown Rosebud2
Newcastle Olympic0
Adamstown Rosebud2
Charlestown Azzurri0
Adamstown Rosebud2
Belmont Swansea Utd.2
Cooks Hill United3
Adamstown Rosebud1
Adamstown Rosebud1
Lambton J.2
Adamstown Rosebud0
Weston Bears2
Valentine0
Adamstown Rosebud3
Adamstown Rosebud2
Maitland5
Adamstown Rosebud (Away)
Kahibah4
Charlestown Azzurri1
Kahibah1
Broadmeadow3
Kahibah1
Weston Bears2
Kahibah3
Valentine0
Kahibah0
Newcastle Olympic2
Kahibah2
Edgeworth E.2
Kahibah0
Lambton J.5
Kahibah4
Cessnock City Hornets1
Kahibah2
Singleton Strikers1
Kahibah2
South Cardiff0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 24th June 2026, Kahibah host Adamstown Rosebud at Fred Wright Oval (Newcastle) in Australia NPL NSW. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.
Kahibah arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Adamstown Rosebud are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Kahibah, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Adamstown Rosebud's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.
Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Australia NPL NSW match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 2.5 at @1.37, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 11:00 am over at Fred Wright Oval (Newcastle).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kahibah vs Adamstown Rosebud?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 82%.
What is Kahibah's current form?
Kahibah have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Adamstown Rosebud been performing recently?
Adamstown Rosebud have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kahibah lead with 1 wins versus Adamstown Rosebud's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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