M
Mariehamn
Home
L
L
L
L
L
1W 2D 7L
▲ Improving
VS
—
3:00 pm
Wiklöf Holding Arena (Mariehamn)
I
Inter Turku
Away
D
D
D
W
D
6W 4D 0L
▲ Improving
Mariehamn
20%
Draw
30%
Inter Turku
50%
H Fair Odds
5
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
2
Implied Prob
78.1%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-22.1%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Inter Turku to win
1.28
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Mariehamn vs Inter Turku
Competition: Finland Veikkausliiga
Date: Saturday, 27th June 2026
KO: 3:00 pm
Pick: 2 (Inter Turku to win)
Odds: 1.28
Confidence: 56%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Mariehamn
2
Draws
6
Inter Turku
10
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Inter Turku won 6 of 10 meetings.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Mariehamn
Metric
Inter Turku
0.6
Goals For / Game
2.5
1.7
Goals Against / Game
1
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
1-2-7
W — D — L
6-4-0
Win Rate
2.9
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
I0
I1
I2
I3
I4
I5
M0
0-0
5.5%
0-1
11.6%
0-2
12.1%
0-3
8.5%
0-4
4.5%
0-5
1.9%
M1
1-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
1-3
6.8%
1-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
M2
2-0
1.8%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
2.7%
2-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
M3
3-0
0.5%
3-1
1.0%
3-2
1.0%
3-3
0.7%
3-4
0.4%
3-5
0.2%
M4
4-0
0.1%
4-1
0.2%
4-2
0.2%
4-3
0.1%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
M5
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
0-2(12.1%)
0-1(11.6%)
1-2(9.7%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
M=Home goals ↓ I=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Mariehamn Win
5
20%
Draw
3.33
30%
Inter Turku Win
2
50%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
6%
Home Win & BTTS No
5%
Draw & BTTS Yes
17%
Draw & BTTS No
14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
33%
Away Win & BTTS No
27%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
6%
Home Win & Under 2.5
4%
Draw & Over 2.5
18%
Draw & Under 2.5
12%
Away Win & Over 2.5
36%
Away Win & Under 2.5
24%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Inter Turku1
Mariehamn0
Inter Turku1
Mariehamn0
Inter Turku0
Mariehamn0
Mariehamn2
Inter Turku2
Inter Turku2
Mariehamn0
Mariehamn0
Inter Turku1
Inter Turku3
Mariehamn0
Mariehamn3
Inter Turku1
Inter Turku0
Mariehamn2
Mariehamn0
Inter Turku2
Recent Form
Mariehamn
Mariehamn0
HJK4
AC Oulu2
Mariehamn1
Mariehamn0
Gnistan3
HJK1
Mariehamn0
Mariehamn0
Lahti1
Jaro3
Mariehamn0
Mariehamn1
KuPS1
Mariehamn3
PuiU0
Lahti1
Mariehamn1
Mariehamn0
VPS1
Inter Turku
Inter Turku1
SJK1
HJK3
Inter Turku3
Inter Turku0
AC Oulu0
SJK1
Inter Turku2
KuPS1
Inter Turku1
Inter Turku2
EBK1
Inter Turku2
TPS1
Ilves1
Inter Turku3
SJK1
Inter Turku3
Inter Turku8
Hercules0
Mariehamn (Home)
Mariehamn0
HJK4
Mariehamn0
Gnistan3
Mariehamn0
Lahti1
Mariehamn1
KuPS1
Mariehamn3
PuiU0
Mariehamn0
VPS1
Mariehamn2
Ilves2
Mariehamn1
TPS1
Mariehamn3
Ekenas2
Mariehamn4
Lahti0
Inter Turku (Away)
HJK3
Inter Turku3
SJK1
Inter Turku2
KuPS1
Inter Turku1
Ilves1
Inter Turku3
SJK1
Inter Turku3
Gnistan2
Inter Turku0
Lahti0
Inter Turku2
Sirius0
Inter Turku1
Odd1
Inter Turku0
TPS0
Inter Turku3
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 27th June 2026, Mariehamn host Inter Turku at Wiklöf Holding Arena (Mariehamn) in Finland Veikkausliiga. We recommend Inter Turku to win as the standout selection.
Mariehamn arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Inter Turku are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 4D 0L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Mariehamn, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Inter Turku's 6, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.
Our verdict: inter turku to win at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Finland Veikkausliiga match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 5 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 4 draws from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.28, sitting at roughly 20,30,50% in our model. The match gets going at 3:00 pm over at Wiklöf Holding Arena (Mariehamn).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Mariehamn vs Inter Turku?
Our selection is 2 — Inter Turku to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Mariehamn's current form?
Mariehamn have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Inter Turku been performing recently?
Inter Turku have recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Mariehamn lead with 2 wins versus Inter Turku's 6, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
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