Weak Signal 18% Confidence
P

Panama

Home
L L D W L
3W 3D 4L → Steady
VS
10:00 pm
MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ)
E
England
Away
D W W W L
7W 2D 1L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 27th June 2026
2
Backing England to win
Panama 80%
Draw 20%
England 0%
H Fair Odds 1.25
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds
Implied Prob 84.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -66.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — England to win
1.18
England Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Panama vs England Competition: World Cup 2026 Date: Saturday, 27th June 2026 KO: 10:00 pm Pick: 2 (England to win) Odds: 1.18 Confidence: 18% Also: England Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Panama
0
Draws
1
England
1
Meetings
7
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip England won 1 of 1 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Panama
Metric
England
1.4
Goals For / Game
2.1
1.5
Goals Against / Game
0.4
10%
Clean Sheets
70%
3-3-4
W — D — L
7-2-1
Win Rate
30%
70%
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
P0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 12.1%
0-2 10.9%
0-3 6.5%
0-4 2.9%
0-5 1.1%
P1
1-0 6.1%
1-1 10.9%
1-2 9.8%
1-3 5.9%
1-4 2.7%
1-5 1.0%
P2
2-0 2.7%
2-1 4.9%
2-2 4.4%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
P3
3-0 0.8%
3-1 1.5%
3-2 1.3%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
P4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(12.1%) 0-2(10.9%) 1-2(9.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip P=Home goals ↓   E=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Panama Win
80%
1.25
Draw
20%
5
England Win
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Panama
Overall
3.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.0
England
Overall
7.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
8.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 34%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 10%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 34%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
24.06.18WC
England6
Panama1
Recent Form
Panama
24.06.26WC
Panama0
Croatia1
L
18.06.26WC
Ghana1
Panama0
L
06.06.26FI
Panama1
Bosnia & Herzegovina1
D
04.06.26FI
Panama4
Dominican Republic2
W
31.05.26FI
Brazil6
Panama2
L
31.03.26FI
South Africa1
Panama2
W
27.03.26FI
South Africa1
Panama1
D
23.01.26FI
Panama0
Mexico1
L
18.01.26FI
Bolivia1
Panama1
D
19.11.25WC
Panama3
El Salvador0
W
England
23.06.26WC
England0
Ghana0
D
17.06.26WC
England4
Croatia2
W
10.06.26FI
England3
Costa Rica0
W
06.06.26FI
England1
New Zealand0
W
31.03.26FI
England0
Japan1
L
27.03.26FI
England1
Uruguay1
D
16.11.25WC
Albania0
England2
W
13.11.25WC
England2
Serbia0
W
14.10.25WC
Latvia0
England5
W
09.10.25FI
England3
Wales0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 27th June 2026, Panama host England at MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ) in World Cup 2026. We recommend England to win as the standout selection.

Panama arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

England are travelling well, with a record of 7W 2D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Panama, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to England's 1, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: england to win at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this World Cup 2026 match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.18, sitting at roughly 80,20,0% in our model. The match gets going at 10:00 pm over at MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ).

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Panama vs England?
Our selection is 2 — England to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 18%.
What is Panama's current form?
Panama have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has England been performing recently?
England have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Panama lead with 0 wins versus England's 1, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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