A
Aarau
Home
L
W
L
L
L
4W 2D 4L
▲ Improving
VS
—
5:00 pm
—
Stadion Brügglifeld (Aarau)
L
Lausanne Ouchy
Away
W
W
W
L
L
6W 1D 3L
▲ Improving
Implied Prob
73.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+6.5%
Value detected
Kelly %
24.4%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals80%
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Aarau vs Lausanne Ouchy
Competition: Swiss Challenge League
Date: Saturday, 1st August 2026
KO: 5:00 pm
Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals)
Odds: 1.36
Confidence: 80%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Aarau
2
Draws
2
Lausanne Ouchy
10
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Aarau
Metric
Lausanne Ouchy
1.6
Goals For / Game
2.1
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.4
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-2-4
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate
3.3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
A0
0-0
3.7%
0-1
6.6%
0-2
6.0%
0-3
3.6%
0-4
1.6%
0-5
0.6%
A1
1-0
5.5%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.0%
1-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
A2
2-0
4.2%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
2-3
4.0%
2-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
A3
3-0
2.1%
3-1
3.7%
3-2
3.4%
3-3
2.0%
3-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
A4
4-0
0.8%
4-1
1.4%
4-2
1.3%
4-3
0.8%
4-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
A5
5-0
0.2%
5-1
0.4%
5-2
0.4%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-1(10.0%)
1-2(9.0%)
2-1(7.5%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
A=Home goals ↓ L=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
23%
Home Win & BTTS No
12%
Draw & BTTS Yes
8%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
34%
Away Win & BTTS No
18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
28%
Home Win & Under 2.5
7%
Draw & Over 2.5
10%
Draw & Under 2.5
3%
Away Win & Over 2.5
42%
Away Win & Under 2.5
10%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Aarau3
Lausanne Ouchy0
Lausanne Ouchy4
Aarau2
Lausanne Ouchy1
Aarau2
Aarau3
Lausanne Ouchy0
Aarau2
Lausanne Ouchy2
Lausanne Ouchy2
Aarau4
Aarau1
Lausanne Ouchy0
Lausanne Ouchy1
Aarau1
Lausanne Ouchy3
Aarau4
Aarau2
Lausanne Ouchy3
Recent Form
Aarau
Etoile-Carouge3
Aarau0
Aarau2
Union Berlin1
A. Lustenau1
Aarau0
Aarau1
St. Gallen II3
Grasshoppers2
Aarau - L (AET)1
Aarau0
Grasshoppers0
Aarau2
Yverdon2
Vaduz1
Aarau2
Aarau5
Stade Nyonnais1
Xamax1
Aarau3
Lausanne Ouchy
Lausanne Ouchy2
Stade Nyonnais0
Lausanne Ouchy3
Servette U211
Zurich1
Lausanne Ouchy2
Servette2
Lausanne Ouchy0
Luzern3
Lausanne Ouchy2
Lausanne Ouchy0
St. Gallen3
Lausanne Ouchy2
Xamax1
Stade Nyonnais1
Lausanne Ouchy3
Lausanne Ouchy5
Bellinzona0
Vaduz2
Lausanne Ouchy2
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 1st August 2026, Aarau host Lausanne Ouchy at Stadion Brügglifeld (Aarau) in Swiss Challenge League. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.
Aarau arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Lausanne Ouchy are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Aarau, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Lausanne Ouchy's 2, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.
Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Swiss Challenge League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 2.5 at @1.36, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 5:00 pm over at Stadion Brügglifeld (Aarau).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Aarau vs Lausanne Ouchy?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is Aarau's current form?
Aarau have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Lausanne Ouchy been performing recently?
Lausanne Ouchy have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Aarau lead with 6 wins versus Lausanne Ouchy's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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