WON Tip WON Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-1 Al Mosul
A

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Home
W D D W W
6W 4D 0L → Steady
VS
2-1
A
Al Mosul
Away
D W D D D
3W 6D 1L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 6th May 2026
1
Backing Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 50%
Draw 30%
Al Mosul 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 68% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals85% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Mosul Competition: Iraq Stars League Date: Wednesday, 6th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win) Odds: 1.47 Confidence: 62% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1
Draws
0
Al Mosul
7
Meetings
1.7
Avg Goals
43%
BTTS
29%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Al Quwa Al Jawiya won 6 of the last 7 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Metric
Al Mosul
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.5
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-4-0
W — D — L
3-6-1
Win Rate
60%
30%
2.8
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 6.4%
0-1 7.7%
0-2 4.6%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 9.9%
1-1 11.9%
1-2 7.1%
1-3 2.9%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
A2
2-0 7.7%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 5.5%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 4.0%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 2.9%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 1.8%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(9.9%) 2-1(9.2%) 2-0(7.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Mosul Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Overall
7.2
Scoring
7.0
Defence
7.0
Al Mosul
Overall
4.8
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 25%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.02.26SL
Al Mosul0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
04.05.10SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
Al Mosul1
05.01.10SL
Al Mosul0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
15.04.05SL
Al Mosul1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
17.01.05SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
Al Mosul0
14.03.03SL
Al Mosul0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
26.10.02SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
Al Mosul1
Recent Form
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
02.05.26SL
Al Minaa0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
W
27.04.26SL
Newroz1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
D
23.04.26SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
Erbil1
D
18.04.26SL
Duhok1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
W
13.04.26SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya3
Al Kahraba2
W
09.04.26SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya5
Al-Qassim0
W
05.04.26SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya0
Al Naft0
D
31.03.26SL
Al Shorta3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya3
D
26.03.26SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
Al Karkh0
W
17.03.26SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya3
Baghdad1
W
Al Mosul
02.05.26SL
Al Mosul1
Al Gharraf1
D
26.04.26SL
Diyala1
Al Mosul4
W
22.04.26SL
Al Mosul0
Al Naft0
D
17.04.26SL
Al Mosul1
Baghdad1
D
13.04.26SL
Naft Missan1
Al Mosul1
D
09.04.26SL
Erbil2
Al Mosul2
D
03.04.26SL
Al Mosul1
Al Karkh2
L
30.03.26SL
Al Mosul2
Al Kahraba1
W
26.03.26SL
Al-Karma1
Al Mosul1
D
22.03.26SL
Al Mosul2
Zakho0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 6th May 2026, Al Quwa Al Jawiya host Al Mosul in Iraq Stars League. We recommend Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win as the standout selection.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Mosul are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 6D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Quwa Al Jawiya, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Al Mosul's 0, with 1 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 43% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al quwa al jawiya to win at odds of 1.47 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Iraq Stars League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.47. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Mosul?
Our selection is 1 — Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win, priced at approximately 1.47. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Al Quwa Al Jawiya's current form?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Mosul been performing recently?
Al Mosul have recorded 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya lead with 6 wins versus Al Mosul's 0, with 1 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 43%.
⚠️
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