WON Tip WON Simba 1-0 JKT Tanzania
S

Simba

Home
D W W W D
6W 4D 0L ▲ Improving
VS
1-0
J
JKT Tanzania
Away
W L W D L
4W 3D 3L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 6th May 2026
1
Backing Simba to win
Simba 60%
Draw 20%
JKT Tanzania 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 83.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Simba to win
1.20
BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Simba vs JKT Tanzania Competition: Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara Date: Wednesday, 6th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Simba to win) Odds: 1.20 Confidence: 68% Also: BTTS — No (65%)
Head to Head
Record
9
Simba
0
Draws
1
JKT Tanzania
10
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Simba won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Simba
Metric
JKT Tanzania
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
50%
Clean Sheets
50%
6-4-0
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
60%
40%
2.4
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
S0
0-0 9.1%
0-1 7.7%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 14.1%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 10.9%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 5.6%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.1%) 2-0(10.9%) 2-1(9.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   J=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Simba Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
JKT Tanzania Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Simba
Overall
7.2
Scoring
6.3
Defence
8.0
JKT Tanzania
Overall
4.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.11.25LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Simba2
05.05.25LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Simba1
24.12.24LKB
Simba1
JKT Tanzania0
28.05.24LKB
Simba2
JKT Tanzania0
15.02.24LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Simba1
01.03.21LKB
Simba3
JKT Tanzania0
04.10.20LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Simba4
07.02.20LKB
Simba0
JKT Tanzania1
29.08.19LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Simba3
30.04.19LKB
Simba1
JKT Tanzania0
Recent Form
Simba
03.05.26LKB
Simba2
Young Africans2
D
19.04.26LKB
Namungo1
Simba3
W
15.04.26LKB
Fountain Gate0
Simba3
W
12.04.26FAC
Simba3
Dodoma Jiji1
W
09.04.26LKB
TRA United0
Simba0
D
05.04.26LKB
Azam0
Simba0
D
02.04.26LKB
Simba2
Coastal Union0
W
22.03.26LKB
Simba3
TRA United0
W
19.03.26LKB
Pamba1
Simba1
D
11.03.26LKB
Singida Black Stars1
Simba2
W
JKT Tanzania
30.04.26LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Kinondoni MC0
W
17.04.26LKB
Azam3
JKT Tanzania0
L
10.04.26FAC
JKT Tanzania3
Mbuni0
W
04.04.26LKB
Namungo2
JKT Tanzania2
D
25.02.26LKB
Young Africans5
JKT Tanzania0
L
13.02.26LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Coastal Union1
D
09.02.26LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Mashujaa0
W
02.02.26LKB
JKT Tanzania3
Pamba0
W
30.01.26LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Dodoma Jiji1
L
25.01.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons0
JKT Tanzania0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 6th May 2026, Simba host JKT Tanzania in Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara. We recommend Simba to win as the standout selection.

Simba arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

JKT Tanzania are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Simba, who lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to JKT Tanzania's 1, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.

Our verdict: simba to win at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.20. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Simba vs JKT Tanzania?
Our selection is 1 — Simba to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Simba's current form?
Simba have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has JKT Tanzania been performing recently?
JKT Tanzania have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Simba lead with 9 wins versus JKT Tanzania's 1, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
⚠️
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