WON Tip WON Triglav 2-0 Jadran Dekani
T

Triglav

Home
W W W W W
8W 2D 0L ▼ Declining
VS
2-0
J
Jadran Dekani
Away
D L D L W
8W 2D 0L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 6th May 2026
1
Backing Triglav to win
Triglav 50%
Draw 30%
Jadran Dekani 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 74.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Triglav to win
1.35
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No85% Triglav Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Triglav vs Jadran Dekani Competition: Slovenia 2 SNL Date: Wednesday, 6th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Triglav to win) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 59% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: BTTS — No (85%) Also: Triglav Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Triglav
3
Draws
2
Jadran Dekani
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Triglav won 5 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Triglav
Metric
Jadran Dekani
2.1
Goals For / Game
0
0.3
Goals Against / Game
0
70%
Clean Sheets
0%
8-2-0
W — D — L
8-2-0
Win Rate
80%
80%
1.2
Avg Goals
40%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
15%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
T0
0-0 28.7%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 0.6%
0-3 0.0%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
T1
1-0 30.1%
1-1 6.0%
1-2 0.6%
1-3 0.0%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
T2
2-0 15.8%
2-1 3.2%
2-2 0.3%
2-3 0.0%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
T3
3-0 5.5%
3-1 1.1%
3-2 0.1%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
T4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
T5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(30.1%) 2-0(15.8%) 3-0(5.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip T=Home goals ↓   J=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Triglav Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Jadran Dekani Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Triglav
Overall
8.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
9.0
Jadran Dekani
Overall
8.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 38%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 11%
Home Win & Under 2.5 33%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 34%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.10.252L
Jadran Dekani3
Triglav4
12.05.252L
Jadran Dekani1
Triglav6
03.11.242L
Triglav1
Jadran Dekani0
18.05.242L
Triglav1
Jadran Dekani2
28.10.232L
Jadran Dekani3
Triglav1
13.05.232L
Triglav0
Jadran Dekani0
29.10.222L
Jadran Dekani0
Triglav0
12.03.222L
Jadran Dekani1
Triglav1
27.08.212L
Triglav1
Jadran Dekani0
16.09.202L
Jadran Dekani1
Triglav2
Recent Form
Triglav
30.04.262L
NK Jesenice0
Triglav3
W
24.04.262L
Triglav4
Krsko Posavje0
W
18.04.262L
ND Gorica0
Triglav1
W
11.04.262L
Triglav2
Dravinja1
W
03.04.262L
NK Krka0
Triglav2
W
27.03.262L
Triglav2
Rudar0
W
20.03.262L
Slovan Ljubljana1
Triglav2
W
14.03.262L
Triglav1
Ilirija1
D
08.03.262L
Triglav4
Grosuplje0
W
01.03.262L
Beltinci0
Triglav0
D
Jadran Dekani
30.04.262L
NK Jesenice0
Triglav3
W
24.04.262L
Triglav4
Krsko Posavje0
W
18.04.262L
ND Gorica0
Triglav1
W
11.04.262L
Triglav2
Dravinja1
W
03.04.262L
NK Krka0
Triglav2
W
27.03.262L
Triglav2
Rudar0
W
20.03.262L
Slovan Ljubljana1
Triglav2
W
14.03.262L
Triglav1
Ilirija1
D
08.03.262L
Triglav4
Grosuplje0
W
01.03.262L
Beltinci0
Triglav0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 6th May 2026, Triglav host Jadran Dekani in Slovenia 2 SNL. We recommend Triglav to win as the standout selection.

Triglav arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Jadran Dekani are travelling well, with a record of 8W 2D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Triglav, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Jadran Dekani's 2, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: triglav to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Slovenia 2 SNL match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.35. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Triglav vs Jadran Dekani?
Our selection is 1 — Triglav to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Triglav's current form?
Triglav have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Jadran Dekani been performing recently?
Jadran Dekani have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Triglav lead with 5 wins versus Jadran Dekani's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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