WON Tip WON Al Shorta 4-1 Baghdad
A

Al Shorta

Home
W D W D D
6W 3D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
4-1
B
Baghdad
Away
W W L L L
1W 1D 8L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 8th April 2026
1
Backing Al Shorta to win
Al Shorta 50%
Draw 30%
Baghdad 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 80.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -17.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Shorta to win
1.24
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Shorta vs Baghdad Competition: Iraq Stars League Date: Wednesday, 8th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Shorta to win) Odds: 1.24 Confidence: 63% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
9
Al Shorta
1
Draws
0
Baghdad
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Al Shorta won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Shorta
Metric
Baghdad
2
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.2
Goals Against / Game
2.2
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-3-1
W — D — L
1-1-8
Win Rate
60%
10%
3.2
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
A0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 9.0%
1-1 9.5%
1-2 5.0%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 9.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 6.6%
3-1 6.9%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 3.5%
4-1 3.7%
4-2 1.9%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.9%) 2-0(9.5%) 1-0(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Shorta Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Baghdad Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Shorta
Overall
6.9
Scoring
6.7
Defence
6.0
Baghdad
Overall
1.3
Scoring
3.0
Defence
2.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 47%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 3%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 47%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 3%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.12.25
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad1
Al-Shorta2
13.05.24
Stars League: Al-Shorta2
Amanat Baghdad1
05.12.23
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad1
Al-Shorta2
07.06.22
Stars League: Al-Shorta2
Amanat Baghdad0
31.12.21
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad1
Al-Shorta3
01.03.21
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad1
Al-Shorta1
30.10.20
Stars League: Al-Shorta2
Amanat Baghdad0
26.02.20
Stars League: Al-Shorta3
Amanat Baghdad1
02.07.19
Stars League: Al-Shorta2
Amanat Baghdad1
05.02.19
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad1
Al-Shorta2
Recent Form
Al Shorta
04.04.26
Stars League: Al-Najaf1
Al-Shorta3
W
31.03.26
Stars League: Al-Shorta3
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya3
D
26.03.26
Stars League: Zakho0
Al-Shorta2
W
21.03.26
Stars League: Al-Naft1
Al-Shorta1
D
17.03.26
Stars League: Al-Shorta3
Al-Talaba3
D
12.03.26
Stars League: Al-Mosul0
Al-Shorta1
W
07.03.26
Stars League: Duhok2
Al-Shorta1
L
02.03.26
Stars League: Al-Shorta2
Al-Kahraba0
W
26.02.26
Stars League: Al-Zawraa1
Al-Shorta2
W
21.02.26
Stars League: Al-Shorta2
Diyala1
W
Baghdad
03.04.26
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad1
Zakho SC2
L
30.03.26
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad2
Al-Karma1
W
25.03.26
Stars League: Al-Talaba2
Amanat Baghdad1
L
21.03.26
Stars League: Al-Zawraa3
Amanat Baghdad2
L
17.03.26
Stars League: Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya3
Amanat Baghdad1
L
12.03.26
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad0
Newroz SC2
L
06.03.26
Stars League: Naft Maysan2
Amanat Baghdad1
L
01.03.26
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad1
Al-Naft SC2
L
22.02.26
Stars League: Al-Kahrabaa5
Amanat Baghdad0
L
06.02.26
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad0
Al-Mina’a SC0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 8th April 2026, Al Shorta host Baghdad in Iraq Stars League. We recommend Al Shorta to win as the standout selection.

Al Shorta arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Baghdad are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 1D 8L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Shorta, who lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Baghdad's 0, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al shorta to win at odds of 1.24 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Iraq Stars League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.24. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Shorta vs Baghdad?
Our selection is 1 — Al Shorta to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Al Shorta's current form?
Al Shorta have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Baghdad been performing recently?
Baghdad have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Shorta lead with 9 wins versus Baghdad's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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