WON Tip WON Montana 0-1 CSKA Sofia
M

Montana

Home
L L L L L
0W 1D 9L → Steady
VS
0-1
C
CSKA Sofia
Away
W W L W W
5W 0D 5L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 8th April 2026
2
Backing CSKA Sofia to win
Montana 20%
Draw 20%
CSKA Sofia 60%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 1.67
Implied Prob 77.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — CSKA Sofia to win
1.29
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Montana vs CSKA Sofia Competition: Bulgaria EFBET League Date: Wednesday, 8th April 2026 Pick: 2 (CSKA Sofia to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 62% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: BTTS — No (90%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Montana
0
Draws
8
CSKA Sofia
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip CSKA Sofia won 8 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Montana
Metric
CSKA Sofia
0.1
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.1
10%
Clean Sheets
40%
0-1-9
W — D — L
5-0-5
Win Rate
0%
50%
1.8
Avg Goals
50%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
10%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
M0
0-0 17.4%
0-1 20.0%
0-2 11.5%
0-3 4.4%
0-4 1.3%
0-5 0.3%
M1
1-0 10.4%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
M2
2-0 3.1%
2-1 3.6%
2-2 2.1%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.1%
M3
3-0 0.6%
3-1 0.7%
3-2 0.4%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
M4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(20.0%) 0-2(11.5%) 1-2(6.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Montana Win
20%
5
Draw
20%
5
CSKA Sofia Win
60%
1.67
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Montana
Overall
0.3
Scoring
0.3
Defence
6.0
CSKA Sofia
Overall
5.0
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 0%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 82%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 0%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 68%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.11.25
First League: CSKA Sofia3
Montana1
21.04.21
First League: CSKA Sofia6
Montana0
08.11.20
First League: Montana1
CSKA Sofia2
31.07.20
Friendly: CSKA Sofia2
Montana3
25.09.18
Bulgarian Cup: Montana0
CSKA Sofia2
06.10.17
Friendly: CSKA Sofia3
Montana1
11.03.17
First League: CSKA Sofia2
Montana1
21.10.16
First League: Montana0
CSKA Sofia2
24.05.16
Bulgarian Cup: Montana0
CSKA Sofia1
24.09.14
Bulgarian Cup: Montana2
CSKA Sofia1
Recent Form
Montana
04.04.26
First League: Arda Kardzhali2
PFC Montana1
L
22.03.26
First League: PFC Montana0
Beroe1
L
15.03.26
First League: Cherno More1
PFC Montana0
L
09.03.26
First League: PFC Montana0
Ludogorets3
L
03.03.26
First League: Spartak Varna1
PFC Montana0
L
27.02.26
First League: PFC Montana0
Botev Plovdiv0
D
21.02.26
First League: Dobrudzha1
PFC Montana0
L
16.02.26
First League: Septemvri Sofia1
PFC Montana0
L
06.02.26
First League: PFC Montana0
CSKA 1948 Sofia1
L
29.01.26
Friendly: PFC Montana0
Leningradets -1
CSKA Sofia
04.04.26
First League: PFC Beroe0
PFC CSKA Sofia3
W
22.03.26
First League: PFC CSKA Sofia2
FC Dobrudzha0
W
14.03.26
First League: PFC Ludogorets3
PFC CSKA Sofia0
L
08.03.26
First League: PFC CSKA Sofia2
FC Lokomotiv Sofia0
W
04.03.26
First League: PFC CSKA Sofia1
POFC Botev Vratsa0
W
28.02.26
First League: PFC Septemvri Sofia2
PFC CSKA Sofia0
L
21.02.26
First League: PFC CSKA Sofia1
PFC Slavia Sofia0
W
14.02.26
First League: CSKA 1948 Sofia0
PFC CSKA Sofia2
W
10.02.26
Bulgarian Cup: PFC CSKA Sofia2
CSKA 1948 Sofia0
W
06.02.26
First League: PFC CSKA Sofia3
FC Arda Kardzhali1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 8th April 2026, Montana host CSKA Sofia in Bulgaria EFBET League. We recommend CSKA Sofia to win as the standout selection.

Montana arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats from their last 10 outings.

CSKA Sofia are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 0D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Montana, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to CSKA Sofia's 8, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cska sofia to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Bulgaria EFBET League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.29. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Montana vs CSKA Sofia?
Our selection is 2 — CSKA Sofia to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Montana's current form?
Montana have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches.
How has CSKA Sofia been performing recently?
CSKA Sofia have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Montana lead with 2 wins versus CSKA Sofia's 8, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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