A
Alashkert
Home
L
D
W
D
L
3W 4D 2L
▼ Declining
VS
—
5:00 pm
—
Alashkert Stadium (Yerevan)
A
Ararat
Away
W
D
D
D
L
3W 3D 4L
→ Steady
Alashkert
50%
Draw
30%
Ararat
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
74.6%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-29.6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Alashkert to win
1.34
Under 2.5 Goals63%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Alashkert vs Ararat
Competition: Armenia Premier League
Date: Monday, 3rd August 2026
KO: 5:00 pm
Pick: 1 (Alashkert to win)
Odds: 1.34
Confidence: 45%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (63%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Alashkert
2
Draws
3
Ararat
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral
Alashkert won 5 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Alashkert
Metric
Ararat
1.2
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2
22%
Clean Sheets
20%
3-4-2
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
2.8
Avg Goals
79%
Over 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0
6.4%
0-1
7.4%
0-2
4.2%
0-3
1.6%
0-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
A1
1-0
10.2%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
6.8%
1-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
A2
2-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
A3
3-0
4.4%
3-1
5.0%
3-2
2.9%
3-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
A4
4-0
1.8%
4-1
2.0%
4-2
1.2%
4-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
A5
5-0
0.6%
5-1
0.6%
5-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(10.2%)
2-1(9.4%)
2-0(8.2%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
A=Home goals ↓ A=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Alashkert Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Ararat Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
17%
Home Win & BTTS No
16%
Draw & BTTS Yes
20%
Draw & BTTS No
17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
16%
Away Win & BTTS No
14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
12%
Home Win & Under 2.5
21%
Draw & Over 2.5
14%
Draw & Under 2.5
23%
Away Win & Over 2.5
11%
Away Win & Under 2.5
19%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Alashkert2
Ararat0
Ararat2
Alashkert3
Alashkert3
Ararat0
Ararat3
Alashkert2
Alashkert0
Ararat1
Alashkert0
Ararat0
Ararat1
Alashkert1
Ararat2
Alashkert0
Ararat1
Alashkert3
Alashkert2
Ararat1
Recent Form
Alashkert
CFR Cluj3
Alashkert0
Alashkert1
CFR Cluj1
Alashkert1
Yelimay Semey1
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Alashkert0
Alashkert2
Shirak Gyumri0
Van0
Alashkert1
Alashkert3
FC Gandzasar1
BKMA2
Alashkert2
Alashkert1
Noah1
Ararat
Ararat2
Andranik1
Ararat1
Sardarapat1
Ararat2
Van2
Ararat1
BKMA1
Noah8
Ararat3
Ararat0
Urartu1
Shirak Gyumri0
Ararat2
Ararat-Armenia4
Ararat0
Ararat1
Pyunik Yerevan0
Alashkert2
Ararat0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Monday, 3rd August 2026, Alashkert host Ararat at Alashkert Stadium (Yerevan) in Armenia Premier League. We recommend Alashkert to win as the standout selection.
Alashkert arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from their last 9 outings.
Ararat are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Alashkert, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Ararat's 3, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.
Our verdict: alashkert to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Armenia Premier League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.34, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 5:00 pm over at Alashkert Stadium (Yerevan).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Alashkert vs Ararat?
Our selection is 1 — Alashkert to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is Alashkert's current form?
Alashkert have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches.
How has Ararat been performing recently?
Ararat have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Alashkert lead with 5 wins versus Ararat's 3, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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