T
Tukums 2000 2
Home
L
W
L
L
L
2W 1D 7L
▲ Improving
VS
—
4:30 pm
—
N/A
A
Alberts JDFS
Away
D
W
L
W
L
5W 2D 3L
▲ Improving
Tukums 2000 2
30%
Draw
20%
Alberts JDFS
50%
H Fair Odds
3.33
D Fair Odds
5
A Fair Odds
2
Implied Prob
77.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-20.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Alberts JDFS to win
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals70%
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Tukums 2000 2 vs Alberts JDFS
Competition: Latvia Nakotnes Liga
Date: Monday, 3rd August 2026
KO: 4:30 pm
Pick: 2 (Alberts JDFS to win)
Odds: 1.29
Confidence: 57%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Tukums 2000 2
2
Draws
7
Alberts JDFS
9
Meetings
4.8
Avg Goals
78%
BTTS
89%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Alberts JDFS won 7 of 9 meetings.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Tukums 2000 2
Metric
Alberts JDFS
1.2
Goals For / Game
2.4
3.2
Goals Against / Game
1.5
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
2-1-7
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
4.2
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
T0
0-0
1.6%
0-1
4.4%
0-2
6.2%
0-3
5.8%
0-4
4.0%
0-5
2.3%
T1
1-0
2.1%
1-1
6.0%
1-2
8.3%
1-3
7.8%
1-4
5.5%
1-5
3.1%
T2
2-0
1.4%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
5.6%
2-3
5.3%
2-4
3.7%
2-5
2.1%
T3
3-0
0.7%
3-1
1.8%
3-2
2.5%
3-3
2.4%
3-4
1.7%
3-5
0.9%
T4
4-0
0.2%
4-1
0.6%
4-2
0.9%
4-3
0.8%
4-4
0.6%
4-5
0.3%
T5
5-0
0.1%
5-1
0.2%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.2%
5-5
0.1%
Top Scores
1-2(8.3%)
1-3(7.8%)
0-2(6.2%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
T=Home goals ↓ A=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Tukums 2000 2 Win
3.33
30%
Draw
5
20%
Alberts JDFS Win
2
50%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
16%
Home Win & BTTS No
8%
Draw & BTTS Yes
12%
Draw & BTTS No
6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
38%
Away Win & BTTS No
20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
17%
Home Win & Under 2.5
7%
Draw & Over 2.5
13%
Draw & Under 2.5
5%
Away Win & Over 2.5
41%
Away Win & Under 2.5
17%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Alberts JDFS6
Tukums 2000 21
Alberts JDFS4
Tukums 2000 23
Tukums 2000 21
Alberts JDFS2
Alberts JDFS4
Tukums 2000 21
Tukums 2000 21
Alberts JDFS4
Tukums 2000 22
Alberts JDFS2
Alberts JDFS3
Tukums 2000 23
Tukums 2000 20
Alberts JDFS5
Alberts JDFS1
Tukums 2000 20
Recent Form
Tukums 2000 2
Metta9
Tukums 2000 20
Tukums 2000 22
RFS 20
Riga FC 22
Tukums 2000 20
Super Nova 23
Tukums 2000 21
Tukums 2000 21
Valmiera4
Alberts JDFS6
Tukums 2000 21
Tukums 2000 21
FK Smiltene1
Rezekne1
Tukums 2000 24
Tukums 2000 21
Marupe2
Leevon PPK4
Tukums 2000 21
Alberts JDFS
Alberts JDFS1
Super Nova 21
JFK Ventspils1
Alberts JDFS3
Alberts JDFS0
Riga Mariners4
Rezekne2
Alberts JDFS4
Riga Mariners1
Alberts JDFS0
Alberts JDFS0
Leevon PPK0
Alberts JDFS6
Tukums 2000 21
Iecava0
Alberts JDFS5
Alberts JDFS4
Skanste1
Metta4
Alberts JDFS1
Tukums 2000 2 (Home)
Tukums 2000 22
RFS 20
Tukums 2000 21
Valmiera4
Tukums 2000 21
FK Smiltene1
Tukums 2000 21
Marupe2
Tukums 2000 22
Skanste0
Tukums 2000 21
Riga Mariners3
Tukums 2000 21
Metta3
Tukums 2000 22
Riga FC 21
Tukums 2000 22
RFS 22
Tukums 2000 20
Riga Mariners4
Alberts JDFS (Away)
JFK Ventspils1
Alberts JDFS3
Rezekne2
Alberts JDFS4
Riga Mariners1
Alberts JDFS0
Iecava0
Alberts JDFS5
Metta4
Alberts JDFS1
Valmiera1
Alberts JDFS1
FK Smiltene2
Alberts JDFS3
Riga FC 22
Alberts JDFS1
Super Nova 22
Alberts JDFS1
Grobina0
Alberts JDFS0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Monday, 3rd August 2026, Tukums 2000 2 host Alberts JDFS at N/A in Latvia Nakotnes Liga. We recommend Alberts JDFS to win as the standout selection.
Tukums 2000 2 arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Alberts JDFS are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Tukums 2000 2, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Alberts JDFS's 7, with 2 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 78% of those meetings.
Our verdict: alberts jdfs to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Latvia Nakotnes Liga match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.29, sitting at roughly 30,20,50% in our model. The match gets going at 4:30 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Tukums 2000 2 vs Alberts JDFS?
Our selection is 2 — Alberts JDFS to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Tukums 2000 2's current form?
Tukums 2000 2 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Alberts JDFS been performing recently?
Alberts JDFS have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Tukums 2000 2 lead with 0 wins versus Alberts JDFS's 7, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 78%.
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