Weak Signal 18% Confidence
H

HB Torshavn

Home
L L W W L
4W 1D 5L → Steady
VS
6:30 pm
Gundadalur (Torshavn)
N
NSI Runavik
Away
W L W D D
3W 3D 2L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Monday, 3rd August 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 84% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -66% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
7
HB Torshavn
0
Draws
3
NSI Runavik
10
Meetings
4.6
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
HB Torshavn
Metric
NSI Runavik
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.8
Goals Against / Game
1.3
30%
Clean Sheets
38%
4-1-5
W — D — L
3-3-2
Win Rate
40%
38%
3.1
Avg Goals
78%
Over 1.5
61%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
H0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 7.4%
0-2 6.1%
0-3 3.4%
0-4 1.4%
0-5 0.5%
H1
1-0 6.5%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 8.9%
1-3 4.9%
1-4 2.0%
1-5 0.7%
H2
2-0 4.7%
2-1 7.8%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.6%
2-4 1.5%
2-5 0.5%
H3
3-0 2.3%
3-1 3.8%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
H4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(10.8%) 1-2(8.9%) 2-1(7.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip H=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
HB Torshavn
Overall
4.3
Scoring
5.3
Defence
4.0
NSI Runavik
Overall
4.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.8
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.05.26PL
NSI Runavik2
HB Torshavn1
19.10.25PL
HB Torshavn3
NSI Runavik0
25.05.25PL
NSI Runavik1
HB Torshavn4
03.05.25PL
HB Torshavn1
NSI Runavik7
27.08.24PL
NSI Runavik3
HB Torshavn2
02.06.24PL
NSI Runavik2
HB Torshavn3
10.03.24PL
HB Torshavn3
NSI Runavik2
22.10.22PL
HB Torshavn3
NSI Runavik1
19.06.22PL
NSI Runavik0
HB Torshavn2
13.03.22PL
HB Torshavn5
NSI Runavik1
Recent Form
HB Torshavn
30.07.26UECL
HB Torshavn0
Motherwell3
L
23.07.26UECL
Motherwell2
HB Torshavn0
L
05.07.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
HB Torshavn4
W
29.06.26PL
HB Torshavn4
Skala Itrottarfelag1
W
25.06.26CUP
Vikingur4
HB Torshavn0
L
21.06.26PL
B36 Torshavn0
HB Torshavn3
W
14.06.26PL
AB Argir3
HB Torshavn1
L
30.05.26PL
HB Torshavn0
Vikingur0
D
26.05.26PL
Toftir0
HB Torshavn1
W
18.05.26PL
HB Torshavn3
Streymur4
L
NSI Runavik
23.07.26UECL
NSI Runavik0
Koper2
L
16.07.26UECL
Hamrun1
NSI Runavik2
W
09.07.26UECL
NSI Runavik1
Hamrun1
D
03.07.26PL
NSI Runavik0
Klaksvik0
D
29.06.26PL
Vikingur3
NSI Runavik3
D
20.06.26PL
NSI Runavik1
Toftir0
W
13.06.26PL
NSI Runavik3
B36 Torshavn0
W
30.05.26PL
AB Argir3
NSI Runavik2
L
HB Torshavn (Home)
30.07.26UECL
HB Torshavn0
Motherwell3
L
29.06.26PL
HB Torshavn4
Skala Itrottarfelag1
W
30.05.26PL
HB Torshavn0
Vikingur0
D
18.05.26PL
HB Torshavn3
Streymur4
L
14.05.26CUP
HB Torshavn2
Vikingur1
W
03.05.26PL
HB Torshavn1
AB Argir1
D
29.04.26CUP
HB Torshavn3
B36 Torshavn1
W
26.04.26PL
HB Torshavn0
Klaksvik2
L
15.04.26CUP
HB Torshavn2
Sandur0
W
06.04.26PL
HB Torshavn2
B36 Torshavn2
D
NSI Runavik (Away)
16.07.26UECL
Hamrun1
NSI Runavik2
W
29.06.26PL
Vikingur3
NSI Runavik3
D
30.05.26PL
AB Argir3
NSI Runavik2
L
25.05.26PL
Streymur0
NSI Runavik1
W
17.05.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
NSI Runavik6
W
13.05.26CUP
Klaksvik4
NSI Runavik2
L
04.05.26PL
B36 Torshavn2
NSI Runavik0
L
30.04.26CUP
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
NSI Runavik4
W
26.04.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag3
NSI Runavik3
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 3rd August 2026, HB Torshavn host NSI Runavik at Gundadalur (Torshavn) in Faroe Islands PL. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

HB Torshavn arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

NSI Runavik are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 2L across 8 matches.

Historical meetings favour HB Torshavn, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to NSI Runavik's 3, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this Faroe Islands PL match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 1.5 at @1.19, sitting at roughly Over 1.5% in our model. The match gets going at 6:30 pm over at Gundadalur (Torshavn).

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 18%.
What is HB Torshavn's current form?
HB Torshavn have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has NSI Runavik been performing recently?
NSI Runavik have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 8 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
HB Torshavn lead with 7 wins versus NSI Runavik's 3, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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