WON Tip WON Auda 2-0 Ogre United
A

Auda

Home
W W L L W
6W 1D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
2-0
O
Ogre United
Away
D L L L L
0W 3D 7L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 30th May 2026
1
Backing Auda to win
Auda 60%
Draw 20%
Ogre United 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 88.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -38.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Auda to win
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Auda vs Ogre United Competition: Latvia Virsliga Date: Saturday, 30th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Auda to win) Odds: 1.13 Confidence: 50% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (75%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Auda
1
Draws
0
Ogre United
1
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Auda won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Auda
Metric
Ogre United
2.2
Goals For / Game
1
1.6
Goals Against / Game
2.8
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-1-3
W — D — L
0-3-7
Win Rate
60%
0%
3.8
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
O0
O1
O2
O3
O4
O5
A0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 2.9%
0-2 1.9%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 5.6%
1-1 7.3%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
A2
2-0 7.0%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 5.9%
2-3 2.6%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 5.8%
3-1 7.6%
3-2 4.9%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
A4
4-0 3.6%
4-1 4.7%
4-2 3.1%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 1.8%
5-1 2.4%
5-2 1.5%
5-3 0.7%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.1%) 3-1(7.6%) 2-0(7.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   O=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Auda Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Ogre United Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Auda
Overall
6.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
4.7
Ogre United
Overall
0.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
0.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 56%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 19%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 53%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.04.26VIR
Ogre United1
Auda1
Recent Form
Auda
26.05.26VIR
BFC Daugavpils0
Auda1
W
22.05.26VIR
Auda3
FK Liepaja1
W
17.05.26VIR
Auda0
RFS3
L
12.05.26VIR
Riga FC4
Auda1
L
07.05.26VIR
Auda7
Grobina0
W
01.05.26VIR
Super Nova1
Auda2
W
26.04.26VIR
Auda2
Tukums 20001
W
21.04.26VIR
Jelgava2
Auda3
W
17.04.26VIR
Ogre United1
Auda1
D
12.04.26VIR
Auda2
BFC Daugavpils3
L
Ogre United
25.05.26VIR
Ogre United1
Grobina1
D
21.05.26VIR
BFC Daugavpils3
Ogre United1
L
16.05.26VIR
Super Nova3
Ogre United1
L
12.05.26VIR
FK Liepaja4
Ogre United1
L
07.05.26VIR
Tukums 20006
Ogre United1
L
02.05.26VIR
Ogre United3
RFS4
L
27.04.26VIR
Ogre United0
Jelgava1
L
22.04.26VIR
Riga FC4
Ogre United0
L
17.04.26VIR
Ogre United1
Auda1
D
13.04.26VIR
Ogre United1
Grobina1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 30th May 2026, Auda host Ogre United in Latvia Virsliga. We recommend Auda to win as the standout selection.

Auda arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ogre United are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 3D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Auda, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Ogre United's 0, with 1 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: auda to win at odds of 1.13 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Latvia Virsliga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.13. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Auda vs Ogre United?
Our selection is 1 — Auda to win, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Auda's current form?
Auda have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ogre United been performing recently?
Ogre United have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Auda lead with 0 wins versus Ogre United's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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