WON Tip WON Tammeka 0-1 Levadia
T

Tammeka

Home
W W W L L
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
0-1
L
Levadia
Away
W W W W W
8W 2D 0L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 30th May 2026
2
Backing Levadia to win
Tammeka 20%
Draw 30%
Levadia 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 78.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -10.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Levadia to win
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Tammeka vs Levadia Competition: Estonia Meistriliiga Date: Saturday, 30th May 2026 Pick: 2 (Levadia to win) Odds: 1.27 Confidence: 68% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Tammeka
1
Draws
9
Levadia
10
Meetings
3.9
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Levadia won 9 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Tammeka
Metric
Levadia
1.3
Goals For / Game
3.1
1.4
Goals Against / Game
0.7
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-1-4
W — D — L
8-2-0
Win Rate
50%
80%
3.3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
T0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 8.7%
0-2 9.8%
0-3 7.4%
0-4 4.1%
0-5 1.9%
T1
1-0 3.9%
1-1 8.7%
1-2 9.8%
1-3 7.4%
1-4 4.1%
1-5 1.9%
T2
2-0 1.9%
2-1 4.4%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 3.7%
2-4 2.1%
2-5 0.9%
T3
3-0 0.7%
3-1 1.5%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.3%
T4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
T5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-2(9.8%) 1-2(9.8%) 0-1(8.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip T=Home goals ↓   L=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Tammeka Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Levadia Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Tammeka
Overall
5.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.3
Levadia
Overall
8.6
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 39%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.04.26ML
Tammeka1
Levadia2
08.02.26CF
Levadia4
Tammeka2
05.10.25ML
Levadia3
Tammeka0
13.09.25ML
Tammeka2
Levadia2
26.04.25ML
Levadia4
Tammeka0
08.03.25ML
Tammeka2
Levadia3
18.01.25CF
Levadia3
Tammeka1
19.10.24ML
Tammeka0
Levadia3
16.08.24ML
Levadia3
Tammeka1
16.06.24ML
Levadia2
Tammeka1
Recent Form
Tammeka
15.05.26ML
Tammeka3
Nomme Utd1
W
08.05.26ML
Tammeka1
Kuressaare0
W
01.05.26ML
Paide0
Tammeka1
W
25.04.26ML
Harju JK Laagri1
Tammeka0
L
22.04.26ML
Tammeka1
Levadia2
L
18.04.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Tammeka0
D
12.04.26ML
Tammeka1
Paide4
L
07.04.26ML
Narva3
Tammeka0
L
03.04.26ML
Tammeka3
Flora1
W
21.03.26ML
Nomme Utd2
Tammeka3
W
Levadia
24.05.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Levadia6
W
17.05.26ML
Paide1
Levadia3
W
09.05.26ML
Levadia3
Harju JK Laagri0
W
02.05.26ML
Kuressaare1
Levadia2
W
26.04.26ML
Levadia7
Narva0
W
22.04.26ML
Tammeka1
Levadia2
W
19.04.26ML
Levadia4
Flora0
W
12.04.26ML
Kalju1
Levadia1
D
08.04.26ML
Levadia2
Parnu JK Vaprus1
W
04.04.26ML
Levadia1
Nomme Utd1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 30th May 2026, Tammeka host Levadia in Estonia Meistriliiga. We recommend Levadia to win as the standout selection.

Tammeka arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Levadia are travelling well, with a record of 8W 2D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Tammeka, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Levadia's 9, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: levadia to win at odds of 1.27 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Estonia Meistriliiga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.27. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Tammeka vs Levadia?
Our selection is 2 — Levadia to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Tammeka's current form?
Tammeka have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Levadia been performing recently?
Levadia have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Tammeka lead with 0 wins versus Levadia's 9, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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