AZ Alkmaar

On Thursday, 16th April 2026, AZ Alkmaar host Shakhtar Donetsk in UEFA Conference League. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

AZ Alkmaar arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Shakhtar Donetsk are travelling well, with a record of 8W 1D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour AZ Alkmaar, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Shakhtar Donetsk's 1, with 1 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 75% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming UEFA Conference League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 1.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.19. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.