WON Tip WON Bayern Munich 3-0 Stuttgart
B

Bayern Munich

Home
W W D D L
7W 2D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
3-0
S
Stuttgart
Away
D W D D W
4W 3D 3L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 23rd May 2026
1
Backing Bayern Munich to win
Bayern Munich 60%
Draw 20%
Stuttgart 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 74.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -8.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Bayern Munich to win
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart Competition: DFB Pokal Date: Saturday, 23rd May 2026 Pick: 1 (Bayern Munich to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 66% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Bayern Munich
2
Draws
1
Stuttgart
10
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Bayern Munich won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Bayern Munich
Metric
Stuttgart
3.3
Goals For / Game
2.2
1.8
Goals Against / Game
1.8
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-2-1
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
70%
40%
4.6
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
B0
0-0 1.1%
0-1 2.1%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.3%
B1
1-0 2.7%
1-1 5.4%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.8%
1-5 0.7%
B2
2-0 3.4%
2-1 6.9%
2-2 6.9%
2-3 4.6%
2-4 2.3%
2-5 0.9%
B3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 5.8%
3-2 5.8%
3-3 3.9%
3-4 2.0%
3-5 0.8%
B4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 3.7%
4-2 3.7%
4-3 2.5%
4-4 1.2%
4-5 0.5%
B5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.9%
5-2 1.9%
5-3 1.3%
5-4 0.6%
5-5 0.3%
Top Scores 2-1(6.9%) 3-1(5.8%) 3-2(5.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Bayern Munich Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Stuttgart Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Bayern Munich
Overall
7.6
Scoring
10.0
Defence
4.0
Stuttgart
Overall
4.9
Scoring
7.3
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
19.04.26BUN
Bayern Munich4
Stuttgart2
06.12.25BUN
Stuttgart0
Bayern Munich5
16.08.25SC
Stuttgart1
Bayern Munich2
28.02.25BUN
Stuttgart1
Bayern Munich3
19.10.24BUN
Bayern Munich4
Stuttgart0
04.05.24BUN
Stuttgart3
Bayern Munich1
17.12.23BUN
Bayern Munich3
Stuttgart0
04.03.23BUN
Stuttgart1
Bayern Munich2
10.09.22BUN
Bayern Munich2
Stuttgart2
08.05.22BUN
Bayern Munich2
Stuttgart2
Recent Form
Bayern Munich
16.05.26BUN
Bayern Munich5
FC Koln1
W
09.05.26BUN
Wolfsburg0
Bayern Munich1
W
06.05.26CL
Bayern Munich1
PSG1
D
02.05.26BUN
Bayern Munich3
Heidenheim3
D
28.04.26CL
PSG5
Bayern Munich4
L
25.04.26BUN
Mainz3
Bayern Munich4
W
22.04.26POK
Bayer Leverkusen0
Bayern Munich2
W
19.04.26BUN
Bayern Munich4
Stuttgart2
W
15.04.26CL
Bayern Munich4
Real Madrid3
W
11.04.26BUN
St. Pauli0
Bayern Munich5
W
Stuttgart
16.05.26BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt2
Stuttgart2
D
09.05.26BUN
Stuttgart3
Bayer Leverkusen1
W
02.05.26BUN
Hoffenheim3
Stuttgart3
D
26.04.26BUN
Stuttgart1
Werder Bremen1
D
23.04.26POK
Stuttgart2
Freiburg1
W
19.04.26BUN
Bayern Munich4
Stuttgart2
L
12.04.26BUN
Stuttgart4
Hamburger SV0
W
04.04.26BUN
Stuttgart0
Dortmund2
L
22.03.26BUN
Augsburg2
Stuttgart5
W
19.03.26EL
FC Porto2
Stuttgart0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 23rd May 2026, Bayern Munich host Stuttgart in DFB Pokal. We recommend Bayern Munich to win as the standout selection.

Bayern Munich arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Stuttgart are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Bayern Munich, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Stuttgart's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: bayern munich to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming DFB Pokal match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.34. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart?
Our selection is 1 — Bayern Munich to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Bayern Munich's current form?
Bayern Munich have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Stuttgart been performing recently?
Stuttgart have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bayern Munich lead with 7 wins versus Stuttgart's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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