WON Tip WON Brno 4-1 Ceske Budejovice
B

Brno

Home
D W D W W
7W 2D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
4-1
C
Ceske Budejovice
Away
L D W L L
3W 1D 6L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 23rd May 2026
1
Backing Brno to win
Brno 50%
Draw 30%
Ceske Budejovice 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -25.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
3
Brno
1
Draws
6
Ceske Budejovice
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Brno won 3 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Brno
Metric
Ceske Budejovice
1.5
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.3
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-2-1
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.3
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
B0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 9.0%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 14.0%
1-1 12.6%
1-2 5.7%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 9.8%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 4.0%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 4.1%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.0%) 2-0(9.8%) 2-1(8.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Brno Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Ceske Budejovice Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Brno
Overall
7.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.3
Ceske Budejovice
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 34%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
18.07.25CHNL
Ceske Budejovice0
Brno2
26.04.231L
Brno1
Ceske Budejovice1
01.03.23CUP
Ceske Budejovice2
Brno1
05.11.221L
Ceske Budejovice3
Brno2
11.04.211L
Ceske Budejovice0
Brno2
06.12.201L
Brno1
Ceske Budejovice3
17.03.19CHNL
Ceske Budejovice3
Brno2
17.08.18CHNL
Brno2
Ceske Budejovice1
08.07.17CF
Brno0
Ceske Budejovice2
08.07.15CF
Brno0
Ceske Budejovice1
Recent Form
Brno
16.05.26CHNL
Kromeriz1
Brno1
D
10.05.26CHNL
Brno1
Vlasim0
W
06.05.26CHNL
Ostrava B1
Brno1
D
02.05.26CHNL
Brno3
Usti nad Labem0
W
26.04.26CHNL
Slavia Prague B0
Brno1
W
19.04.26CHNL
Jihlava1
Brno2
W
15.04.26CHNL
Brno1
Zizkov0
W
11.04.26CHNL
Opava4
Brno0
L
04.04.26CHNL
Brno2
Chrudim0
W
27.03.26CF
Brno3
Teplice1
W
Ceske Budejovice
16.05.26CHNL
Ceske Budejovice1
Chrudim2
L
09.05.26CHNL
Prostejov1
Ceske Budejovice1
D
06.05.26CHNL
Ceske Budejovice3
Jihlava1
W
01.05.26CHNL
Pribram2
Ceske Budejovice1
L
25.04.26CHNL
Artis Brno2
Ceske Budejovice1
L
19.04.26CHNL
Ceske Budejovice1
Kromeriz0
W
15.04.26CHNL
Taborsko1
Ceske Budejovice0
L
10.04.26CHNL
Ceske Budejovice1
Usti nad Labem2
L
05.04.26CHNL
Sparta Prague B0
Ceske Budejovice1
W
20.03.26CHNL
Ceske Budejovice0
Zizkov2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 23rd May 2026, Brno host Ceske Budejovice in Czech CHNL. We recommend Brno to win as the standout selection.

Brno arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ceske Budejovice are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Brno, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Ceske Budejovice's 6, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: brno to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Czech CHNL match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.31. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Brno vs Ceske Budejovice?
Our selection is 1 — Brno to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Brno's current form?
Brno have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ceske Budejovice been performing recently?
Ceske Budejovice have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Brno lead with 3 wins versus Ceske Budejovice's 6, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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