WON Tip WON Botofogo U20 1-0 Gremio U20
B

Botofogo U20

Home
W D W W W
7W 1D 2L → Steady
VS
1-0
G
Gremio U20
Away
L L D W L
2W 2D 6L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 17th June 2026
1
Backing Botofogo U20 to win
Botofogo U20 50%
Draw 30%
Gremio U20 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 71.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -28.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Botofogo U20 to win
1.40
Under 2.5 Goals80% BTTS — No80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Botofogo U20 vs Gremio U20 Competition: Brasileiro U20 Date: Wednesday, 17th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Botofogo U20 to win) Odds: 1.40 Confidence: 43% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — No (80%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Botofogo U20
5
Draws
2
Gremio U20
7
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
29%
BTTS
57%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Botofogo U20 won 0 of the last 7 meetings (5 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Botofogo U20
Metric
Gremio U20
0
Goals For / Game
1.1
0
Goals Against / Game
1.9
0%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-1-2
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
70%
20%
1.5
Avg Goals
35%
Over 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
B0
0-0 22.3%
0-1 12.3%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 21.2%
1-1 11.7%
1-2 3.2%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
B2
2-0 10.1%
2-1 5.5%
2-2 1.5%
2-3 0.3%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
B3
3-0 3.2%
3-1 1.8%
3-2 0.5%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(21.2%) 2-0(10.1%) 2-1(5.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   G=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Botofogo U20 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Gremio U20 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Botofogo U20
Overall
7.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Gremio U20
Overall
2.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 54%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 54%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 4%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.07.25BRA
Botafogo U204
Gremio U200
04.04.24BRA
Botafogo U201
Gremio U202
27.06.21BRA
Gremio U200
Botafogo U202
26.09.20BRA
Gremio U200
Botafogo U200
11.09.19BRA
Gremio U203
Botafogo U200
06.09.17BRA
Gremio U200
Botafogo U201
30.08.17BRA
Botafogo U203
Gremio U201
Recent Form
Botofogo U20
10.06.26BRA
Botafogo U202
Criciuma U200
W
27.05.26BRA
Santos U201
Botafogo U201
D
21.05.26BRA
Athletico-PR U200
Botafogo U203
W
16.05.26BRA
Botafogo U203
Cruzeiro U201
W
13.05.26BRA
Botafogo U203
Flamengo RJ U201
W
06.05.26BRA
Juventude U200
Botafogo U203
W
29.04.26BRA
Vasco U201
Botafogo U200
L
26.04.26BRA
Botafogo U202
Fortaleza U201
W
22.04.26BRA
Botafogo U201
Bahia U200
W
14.04.26BRA
Cuiaba U203
Botafogo U201
L
Gremio U20
14.06.26GAU
Gremio U200
Internacional U201
L
10.06.26BRA
Gremio U200
Fluminense U203
L
05.06.26GAU
Gremio U200
Novo Hamburgo U200
D
31.05.26GAU
Novo Hamburgo U200
Gremio U201
W
27.05.26BRA
Cuiaba U202
Gremio U200
L
24.05.26GAU
Gremio U202
SC Ivoti U200
W
21.05.26BRA
RB Bragantino U205
Gremio U204
L
16.05.26BRA
Gremio U201
Avai U201
D
12.05.26BRA
Vitoria U202
Gremio U201
L
06.05.26BRA
Cruzeiro U205
Gremio U202
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 17th June 2026, Botofogo U20 host Gremio U20 in Brasileiro U20. We recommend Botofogo U20 to win as the standout selection.

Botofogo U20 arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Gremio U20 are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Botofogo U20, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Gremio U20's 2, with 5 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 29% of those meetings.

Our verdict: botofogo u20 to win at odds of 1.40 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Brasileiro U20 match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.40. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Botofogo U20 vs Gremio U20?
Our selection is 1 — Botofogo U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 43%.
What is Botofogo U20's current form?
Botofogo U20 have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gremio U20 been performing recently?
Gremio U20 have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Botofogo U20 lead with 0 wins versus Gremio U20's 2, with 5 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 29%.
⚠️
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