WON Tip WON Braga 4-0 Ferencvaros
B

Braga

Home
L D W W L
6W 2D 2L โ†’ Steady
VS
4-0
F
Ferencvaros
Away
W W W W W
8W 0D 2L โ†’ Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection ยท Wednesday, 18th March 2026
1
Backing Braga to win
Braga 50%
Draw 30%
Ferencvaros 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 65.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -20.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ€” Braga to win
1.53
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals90%
๐Ÿ“‹ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Braga vs Ferencvaros Competition: UEFA Europa League Date: Wednesday, 18th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Braga to win) Odds: 1.53 Confidence: 45% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
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Head to Head
Record
0
Braga
0
Draws
1
Ferencvaros
1
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Braga won 0 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Braga
Metric
Ferencvaros
2.1
Goals For / Game
2.6
0.9
Goals Against / Game
0.8
50%
Clean Sheets
50%
6-2-2
W โ€” D โ€” L
8-0-2
Win Rate
60%
80%
3.2
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
B0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 6.2%
0-3 3.6%
0-4 1.6%
0-5 0.6%
B1
1-0 5.9%
1-1 10.3%
1-2 9.1%
1-3 5.3%
1-4 2.3%
1-5 0.8%
B2
2-0 4.3%
2-1 7.5%
2-2 6.6%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 1.7%
2-5 0.6%
B3
3-0 2.1%
3-1 3.6%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
B4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
B5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(7.5%) 1-0(5.9%) 2-0(4.3%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts tip B=Home goals โ†“   F=Away โ†’
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Braga Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Ferencvaros Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Braga
Overall
6.6 โ–ฒ
Scoring
7.0 โ–ฒ
Defence
7.0 โ–ฒ
Ferencvaros
Overall
8.0 โ–ผ
Scoring
8.7 โ–ผ
Defence
7.3 โ–ผ
๐Ÿ”€
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Away Win & BTTS No 29%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 40%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
๐Ÿงฎ
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.03.26
EL: Ferencvaros2
Braga0
Recent Form
Braga
12.03.26
EL: Ferencvaros2
Braga0
L
07.03.26
LP: Braga2
Sporting CP2
D
28.02.26
LP: Nacional1
Braga2
W
21.02.26
LP: Braga3
Vitoria Guimaraes2
W
14.02.26
LP: Gil Vicente2
Braga1
L
08.02.26
LP: Braga3
Rio Ave0
W
02.02.26
LP: AFS0
Braga4
W
29.01.26
EL: G.A. Eagles0
Braga0
D
25.01.26
LP: Braga5
Alverca0
W
22.01.26
EL: Braga1
Nottingham0
W
Ferencvaros
12.03.26
EL: Ferencvaros2
Braga0
W
08.03.26
NBI: Nyiregyhaza1
Ferencvaros3
W
04.03.26
HC: Kazincbarcika0
Ferencvaros5
W
01.03.26
NBI: Ferencvaros2
Kazincbarcika1
W
26.02.26
EL: Ferencvaros2
Ludogorets0
W
23.02.26
NBI: MTK Budapest1
Ferencvaros3
W
19.02.26
EL: Ludogorets2
Ferencvaros1
L
14.02.26
NBI: Zalaegerszegi3
Ferencvaros1
L
11.02.26
HC: Ferencvaros4
Csakvari0
W
07.02.26
NBI: Ferencvaros3
Ujpest0
W
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 18th March 2026, Braga host Ferencvaros in UEFA Europa League. We recommend Braga to win as the standout selection.

Braga arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ferencvaros are travelling well, with a record of 8W 0D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Braga, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Ferencvaros's 1, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: braga to win at odds of 1.53 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Braga vs Ferencvaros?
Our selection is 1 โ€” Braga to win, priced at approximately 1.53. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is Braga's current form?
Braga have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ferencvaros been performing recently?
Ferencvaros have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Braga lead with 0 wins versus Ferencvaros's 1, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
โš ๏ธ
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