C
Cavalry
Home
D
L
W
W
W
7W 1D 2L
โฒ Improving
VS
โ
8:00 pm
โ
ATCO Field (Foothills County, AB)
H
HFX Wanderers
Away
W
L
W
L
L
3W 1D 6L
โผ Declining
Cavalry
50%
Draw
30%
HFX Wanderers
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
72.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-13.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
6
Cavalry
3
Draws
1
HFX Wanderers
10
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Cavalry won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Cavalry
Metric
HFX Wanderers
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.8
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-1-2
W โ D โ L
3-1-6
Win Rate
2.9
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
C0
0-0
5.5%
0-1
5.2%
0-2
2.5%
0-3
0.8%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
C1
1-0
10.7%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
4.8%
1-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
C2
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
C3
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
3-2
3.1%
3-3
1.0%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
C4
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
4-2
1.5%
4-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
C5
5-0
1.3%
5-1
1.2%
5-2
0.6%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(10.7%)
2-0(10.5%)
2-1(9.9%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
C=Home goals โ H=Away โ
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Cavalry Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
HFX Wanderers Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
29%
Home Win & BTTS No
35%
Draw & BTTS Yes
4%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
12%
Away Win & BTTS No
15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
32%
Home Win & Under 2.5
32%
Draw & Over 2.5
5%
Draw & Under 2.5
5%
Away Win & Over 2.5
14%
Away Win & Under 2.5
14%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Cavalry2
HFX Wanderers0
Cavalry3
HFX Wanderers1
Cavalry0
HFX Wanderers0
HFX Wanderers1
Cavalry1
HFX Wanderers0
Cavalry3
Cavalry2
HFX Wanderers1
Cavalry3
HFX Wanderers2
HFX Wanderers1
Cavalry0
HFX Wanderers1
Cavalry1
HFX Wanderers1
Cavalry2
Recent Form
Cavalry
Cavalry1
Vancouver Whitecaps1
Vancouver Whitecaps4
Cavalry1
Atl. Ottawa0
Cavalry3
Inter Toronto1
Cavalry5
Cavalry2
HFX Wanderers0
Forge1
Cavalry0
Cavalry3
Pacific FC0
Vancouver FC0
Cavalry2
Pacific FC1
Cavalry3
Supra du Quebec0
Cavalry1
HFX Wanderers
Pacific FC1
HFX Wanderers2
HFX Wanderers1
Atl. Ottawa3
HFX Wanderers5
Pacific FC2
Forge1
HFX Wanderers0
Cavalry2
HFX Wanderers0
HFX Wanderers1
Vancouver FC0
HFX Wanderers1
Inter Toronto1
Atl. Ottawa1
HFX Wanderers0
Forge4
HFX Wanderers0
HFX Wanderers1
Forge3
Cavalry (Home)
Cavalry1
Vancouver Whitecaps1
Cavalry2
HFX Wanderers0
Cavalry3
Pacific FC0
Cavalry1
Inter Toronto1
Cavalry3
Atl. Ottawa1
Cavalry4
Inter Toronto1
Cavalry1
Forge1
Cavalry3
Valour0
Cavalry3
HFX Wanderers1
Cavalry4
Forge1
HFX Wanderers (Away)
Pacific FC1
HFX Wanderers2
Forge1
HFX Wanderers0
Cavalry2
HFX Wanderers0
Atl. Ottawa1
HFX Wanderers0
Forge4
HFX Wanderers0
Supra du Quebec2
HFX Wanderers1
Inter Toronto2
HFX Wanderers2
Vancouver FC0
HFX Wanderers1
Valour0
HFX Wanderers3
Vancouver FC3
HFX Wanderers1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 18th July 2026, Cavalry host HFX Wanderers at ATCO Field (Foothills County, AB) in Canadian Premier League. We recommend Cavalry to win as the standout selection.
Cavalry arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.
HFX Wanderers are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Cavalry, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to HFX Wanderers's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.
Our verdict: cavalry to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Canadian Premier League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.38, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 8:00 pm over at ATCO Field (Foothills County, AB).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers?
Our selection is 1 โ Cavalry to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Cavalry's current form?
Cavalry have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has HFX Wanderers been performing recently?
HFX Wanderers have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cavalry lead with 6 wins versus HFX Wanderers's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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