WON Tip WON Chengdu Rongcheng 2-1 Yunnan Yukun
C

Chengdu Rongcheng

Home
W W W D W
5W 2D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
2-1
Y
Yunnan Yukun
Away
L W L W L
4W 2D 4L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 21st April 2026
1X
Backing Chengdu Rongcheng to win or draw
Implied Prob 91.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -1.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Chengdu Rongcheng to win or draw
1.09
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Yunnan Yukun Competition: China Super League Date: Tuesday, 21st April 2026 Pick: 1X (Chengdu Rongcheng to win or draw) Odds: 1.09 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Chengdu Rongcheng
1
Draws
0
Yunnan Yukun
2
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Chengdu Rongcheng
Metric
Yunnan Yukun
2
Goals For / Game
2
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.9
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-2-3
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
50%
40%
3.7
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Y0
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
C0
0-0 2.5%
0-1 4.3%
0-2 3.8%
0-3 2.2%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
C1
1-0 4.8%
1-1 8.4%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 4.3%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.7%
C2
2-0 4.7%
2-1 8.2%
2-2 7.2%
2-3 4.2%
2-4 1.8%
2-5 0.6%
C3
3-0 3.1%
3-1 5.4%
3-2 4.7%
3-3 2.7%
3-4 1.2%
3-5 0.4%
C4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.2%
C5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-1(8.4%) 2-1(8.2%) 2-2(7.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   Y=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Chengdu Rongcheng
Overall
5.6
Scoring
6.7
Defence
5.0
Yunnan Yukun
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.7
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 24%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
23.08.25
 (Super League) Yunnan Yukun1
Chengdu Rongcheng5
16.04.25
 (Super League) Chengdu Rongcheng1
Yunnan Yukun1
Recent Form
Chengdu Rongcheng
17.04.26
 (Super League) Wuhan Three Towns0
Chengdu Rongcheng - W1
12.04.26
 (Super League) Beijing Guoan1
Chengdu Rongcheng - W2
03.04.26
 (Super League) Chengdu Rongcheng5
Qingdao West Coast - W1
21.03.26
 (Super League) Chongqing Tonglianglong3
Chengdu Rongcheng - D3
15.03.26
 (Super League) Chengdu Rongcheng1
Qingdao Hainiu - W0
06.03.26
 (Super League) Chengdu Rongcheng5
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - W1
17.02.26
 (Champions League Asia) Machida3
Chengdu Rongcheng - L2
10.02.26
 (Champions League Asia) Chengdu Rongcheng0
Buriram - L1
26.01.26
 (Friendly) Dynamo Moscow1
Chengdu Rongcheng - D1
20.01.26
 (Friendly) Lokomotiv Moscow4
Chengdu Rongcheng - L0
Yunnan Yukun
17.04.26
 (Super League) Yunnan Yukun0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - L3
12.04.26
 (Super League) Shenzhen Xinpengcheng3
Yunnan Yukun - W4
04.04.26
 (Super League) Shanghai Port2
Yunnan Yukun - L1
21.03.26
 (Super League) Yunnan Yukun4
Shandong Taishan - W0
15.03.26
 (Super League) Henan Songshan Longmen2
Yunnan Yukun - L1
07.03.26
 (Super League) Yunnan Yukun3
Qingdao Hainiu - W1
09.02.26
 (Friendly) Ural2
Yunnan Yukun - L0
07.02.26
 (Friendly) Noah5
Yunnan Yukun - D5
22.11.25
 (Super League) Henan Songshan Longmen1
Yunnan Yukun - D1
02.11.25
 (Super League) Yunnan Yukun1
Qingdao West Coast - W0
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 21st April 2026, Chengdu Rongcheng host Yunnan Yukun in China Super League. We recommend Chengdu Rongcheng to win or draw as the standout selection.

Chengdu Rongcheng arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Yunnan Yukun are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Chengdu Rongcheng, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Yunnan Yukun's 0, with 1 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: chengdu rongcheng to win or draw at odds of 1.09 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming China Super League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1X, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.09. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Chengdu Rongcheng vs Yunnan Yukun?
Our selection is 1X — Chengdu Rongcheng to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.09. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Chengdu Rongcheng's current form?
Chengdu Rongcheng have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Yunnan Yukun been performing recently?
Yunnan Yukun have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Chengdu Rongcheng lead with 1 wins versus Yunnan Yukun's 0, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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