WON Tip WON Southampton 2-2 Bristol City
S

Southampton

Home
W W W W W
9W 1D 0L ▼ Declining
VS
2-2
B
Bristol City
Away
L D W W L
2W 2D 6L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 21st April 2026
1X
Backing Southampton to win or draw
Implied Prob 88.5% Bookie's implied odds
Head to Head
Record
3
Southampton
1
Draws
6
Bristol City
10
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Southampton
Metric
Bristol City
2.1
Goals For / Game
0.7
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.4
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
9-1-0
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
90%
20%
2.4
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
S0
0-0 9.1%
0-1 5.9%
0-2 1.9%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 15.9%
1-1 10.3%
1-2 3.4%
1-3 0.7%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
S2
2-0 13.9%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 2.9%
2-3 0.6%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 8.1%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 3.6%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.9%) 2-0(13.9%) 1-1(10.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Southampton
Overall
9.3
Scoring
7.0
Defence
8.0
Bristol City
Overall
2.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 40%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
21.10.25
 (Championship) Bristol City3
Southampton1
13.02.24
 (Championship) Bristol City3
Southampton1
29.11.23
 (Championship) Southampton1
Bristol City0
24.09.13
 (EFL Trophy) Southampton2
Bristol City0
07.08.12
 (Friendly) Bristol City1
Southampton1
30.12.11
 (Championship) Southampton0
Bristol City1
26.11.11
 (Championship) Bristol City2
Southampton0
14.02.09
 (Championship) Bristol City2
Southampton0
08.11.08
 (Championship) Southampton0
Bristol City1
05.04.08
 (Championship) Southampton2
Bristol City0
Recent Form
Southampton
18.04.26
 (Championship) Swansea1
Southampton - W2
14.04.26
 (Championship) Southampton3
Blackburn - W0
11.04.26
 (Championship) Southampton2
Derby - W1
07.04.26
 (Championship) Wrexham1
Southampton - W5
04.04.26
 (FA Cup) Southampton2
Arsenal - W1
21.03.26
 (Championship) Southampton2
Oxford Utd - W0
18.03.26
 (Championship) Southampton1
Norwich - W0
14.03.26
 (Championship) Coventry1
Southampton - W2
11.03.26
 (Championship) West Brom1
Southampton - D1
08.03.26
 (FA Cup) Fulham0
Southampton - W1
Bristol City
18.04.26
 (Championship) Bristol City2
Norwich - L4
11.04.26
 (Championship) QPR0
Bristol City - D0
06.04.26
 (Championship) Bristol City1
Sheffield Utd - W0
03.04.26
 (Championship) Charlton1
Bristol City - W2
21.03.26
 (Championship) Bristol City0
West Brom - L1
14.03.26
 (Championship) Middlesbrough1
Bristol City - D1
10.03.26
 (Championship) Leicester2
Bristol City - L0
07.03.26
 (Championship) Bristol City0
Coventry - L2
03.03.26
 (FA Cup) Port Vale1
Bristol City - L0
27.02.26
 (Championship) Bristol City1
Watford - L2
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 21st April 2026, Southampton host Bristol City in Championship. We recommend Southampton to win or draw as the standout selection.

Southampton arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Bristol City are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Southampton, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Bristol City's 6, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: southampton to win or draw at odds of 1.13 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Championship match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1X, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.13. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Southampton vs Bristol City?
Our selection is 1X — Southampton to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.13.
What is Southampton's current form?
Southampton have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bristol City been performing recently?
Bristol City have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Southampton lead with 3 wins versus Bristol City's 6, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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