LOST Tip LOST Hadjuk Split 0-1 Osijek
H

Hadjuk Split

Home
D W W W W
6W 2D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
0-1
O
Osijek
Away
L W L D D
3W 2D 5L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 21st April 2026
1
Backing Hadjuk Split to win
Hadjuk Split 50%
Draw 30%
Osijek 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 71.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
6
Hadjuk Split
2
Draws
2
Osijek
10
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Hadjuk Split won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Hadjuk Split
Metric
Osijek
2.1
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.6
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
6-2-2
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
60%
30%
2.8
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
O0
O1
O2
O3
O4
O5
H0
0-0 6.4%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 2.6%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
H1
1-0 11.8%
1-1 10.6%
1-2 4.8%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
H2
2-0 10.9%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.4%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
H3
3-0 6.8%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
H4
4-0 3.1%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
H5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.8%) 2-0(10.9%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip H=Home goals ↓   O=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Hadjuk Split Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Osijek Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Hadjuk Split
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
6.3
Osijek
Overall
3.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 33%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
15.02.26
 (HNL) Osijek0
Hajduk Split2
08.11.25
 (HNL) Hajduk Split2
Osijek0
24.08.25
 (HNL) Osijek0
Hajduk Split2
27.04.25
 (HNL) Osijek2
Hajduk Split0
22.02.25
 (HNL) Hajduk Split4
Osijek0
24.11.24
 (HNL) Osijek2
Hajduk Split2
31.08.24
 (HNL) Hajduk Split1
Osijek0
14.04.24
 (HNL) Hajduk Split1
Osijek2
03.02.24
 (HNL) Osijek1
Hajduk Split1
08.11.23
 (HNL) Osijek0
Hajduk Split1
Recent Form
Hadjuk Split
17.04.26
 (HNL) Slaven Belupo2
Hajduk Split - D2
12.04.26
 (HNL) Hajduk Split1
Gorica - W0
07.04.26
 (HNL) Istra 19611
Hajduk Split - W3
21.03.26
 (HNL) Vukovar 19910
Hajduk Split - W6
15.03.26
 (HNL) Hajduk Split2
Lok. Zagreb - W1
08.03.26
 (HNL) Hajduk Split1
Din. Zagreb - L3
04.03.26
 (Croatian Cup) Rijeka3
Hajduk Split - L2
28.02.26
 (HNL) Varaždin1
Hajduk Split - D1
22.02.26
 (HNL) Hajduk Split1
Rijeka - W0
15.02.26
 (HNL) Osijek0
Hajduk Split - W2
Osijek
17.04.26
 (HNL) Osijek0
Varaždin - L2
12.04.26
 (HNL) Rijeka0
Osijek - W2
04.04.26
 (HNL) Din. Zagreb7
Osijek - L0
22.03.26
 (HNL) Slaven Belupo0
Osijek - D0
14.03.26
 (HNL) Osijek0
Gorica - D0
06.03.26
 (HNL) Istra 19610
Osijek - W1
28.02.26
 (HNL) Osijek2
Vukovar 1991 - W0
21.02.26
 (HNL) Lok. Zagreb3
Osijek - L1
15.02.26
 (HNL) Osijek0
Hajduk Split - L2
08.02.26
 (HNL) Varaždin2
Osijek - L1
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 21st April 2026, Hadjuk Split host Osijek in Croatia HNL. We recommend Hadjuk Split to win as the standout selection.

Hadjuk Split arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Osijek are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Hadjuk Split, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Osijek's 2, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: hadjuk split to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Croatia HNL match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.39. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Hadjuk Split vs Osijek?
Our selection is 1 — Hadjuk Split to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Hadjuk Split's current form?
Hadjuk Split have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Osijek been performing recently?
Osijek have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hadjuk Split lead with 6 wins versus Osijek's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
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