WON
Tip WON
Croatia W 4-0 Bulgaria W
C
Croatia W
Home
W
W
W
L
W
7W 0D 3L
→ Steady
VS
4-0
B
Bulgaria W
Away
W
L
L
W
L
2W 3D 5L
→ Steady
Croatia W
60%
Draw
20%
Bulgaria W
20%
H Fair Odds
1.67
D Fair Odds
5
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
82%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-12%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Croatia W to win
1.22
Croatia W Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Croatia W vs Bulgaria W
Competition: Euro WCQ Women
Date: Tuesday, 9th June 2026
Pick: 1 (Croatia W to win)
Odds: 1.22
Confidence: 70%
Also: Croatia W Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Croatia W
0
Draws
0
Bulgaria W
2
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Croatia W won 2 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Croatia W
Metric
Bulgaria W
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.4
60%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-0-3
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
2.9
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
C0
0-0
5.5%
0-1
6.1%
0-2
3.3%
0-3
1.2%
0-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
C1
1-0
9.9%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
6.0%
1-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
C2
2-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
2-3
2.0%
2-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
C3
3-0
5.4%
3-1
5.9%
3-2
3.2%
3-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
C4
4-0
2.4%
4-1
2.7%
4-2
1.5%
4-3
0.5%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.0%
C5
5-0
0.9%
5-1
1.0%
5-2
0.5%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(9.9%)
2-1(9.8%)
2-0(8.9%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
C=Home goals ↓ B=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Croatia W Win
1.67
60%
Draw
5
20%
Bulgaria W Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
27%
Home Win & BTTS No
40%
Draw & BTTS Yes
6%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
8%
Away Win & BTTS No
11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
37%
Home Win & Under 2.5
30%
Draw & Over 2.5
8%
Draw & Under 2.5
6%
Away Win & Over 2.5
10%
Away Win & Under 2.5
9%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Bulgaria W0
Croatia1
Bulgaria W1
Croatia3
Recent Form
Croatia W
Kosovo W0
Croatia W1
Croatia W9
Gibraltar W0
Gibraltar W0
Croatia W1
Croatia W0
Kosovo W1
Bulgaria W0
Croatia W1
Malta W0
Croatia W3
Malta W3
Croatia W2
Croatia W2
Montenegro W1
Croatia W1
Montenegro W3
Croatia W2
Ukraine W0
Bulgaria W
Bulgaria W3
Gibraltar W1
Kosovo W2
Bulgaria W1
Bulgaria W1
Kosovo W3
Gibraltar W0
Bulgaria W5
Bulgaria W0
Croatia W1
Bulgaria W0
Estonia W1
Israel W3
Bulgaria W3
Estonia W0
Bulgaria W0
Bulgaria W1
Israel W3
Bulgaria W0
Kazakhstan W0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 9th June 2026, Croatia W host Bulgaria W in Euro WCQ Women. We recommend Croatia W to win as the standout selection.
Croatia W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Bulgaria W are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Croatia W, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Bulgaria W's 0, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.
Our verdict: croatia w to win at odds of 1.22 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Euro WCQ Women match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.
Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.
Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.
On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.
Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.22. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Croatia W vs Bulgaria W?
Our selection is 1 — Croatia W to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is Croatia W's current form?
Croatia W have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bulgaria W been performing recently?
Bulgaria W have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Croatia W lead with 2 wins versus Bulgaria W's 0, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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