WON Tip WON Netherlands W 3-1 Poland W
N

Netherlands W

Home
L D W W D
5W 3D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
3-1
P
Poland W
Away
L L L L D
4W 2D 4L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 9th June 2026
1
Backing Netherlands W to win
Netherlands W 60%
Draw 20%
Poland W 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 84.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -36.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Netherlands W to win
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Netherlands W vs Poland W Competition: Euro WCQ Women Date: Tuesday, 9th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Netherlands W to win) Odds: 1.18 Confidence: 48% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Netherlands W
2
Draws
1
Poland W
4
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Netherlands W won 1 of the last 4 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Netherlands W
Metric
Poland W
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.7
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.6
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-3-2
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
50%
40%
3.3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
N0
0-0 3.7%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 4.4%
0-3 2.3%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
N1
1-0 6.5%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 7.8%
1-3 4.0%
1-4 1.6%
1-5 0.5%
N2
2-0 5.7%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 6.8%
2-3 3.5%
2-4 1.4%
2-5 0.4%
N3
3-0 3.3%
3-1 5.1%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
N4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
N5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(8.8%) 1-0(6.5%) 2-0(5.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Netherlands W Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Poland W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Netherlands W
Overall
5.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.3
Poland W
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.03.26WC
Poland W2
Netherlands2
24.10.25FI
Poland W0
Netherlands0
11.04.23FI
Netherlands W4
Poland1
04.03.19ALG
Netherlands W0
Poland1
Recent Form
Netherlands W
05.06.26WC
Ireland W3
Netherlands W2
L
18.04.26WC
France W1
Netherlands W1
D
14.04.26WC
Netherlands W2
France W1
W
07.03.26WC
Netherlands W2
Ireland W1
W
03.03.26WC
Poland W2
Netherlands W2
D
02.12.25FI
Netherlands W5
South Korea W0
W
28.11.25FI
Portugal W1
Netherlands W2
W
28.10.25FI
Netherlands W1
Canada W0
W
24.10.25FI
Poland W0
Netherlands W0
D
13.07.25EUR
Netherlands W2
France W5
L
Poland W
05.06.26WC
Poland W0
France W2
L
18.04.26WC
Ireland W1
Poland W0
L
14.04.26WC
Poland W2
Ireland W3
L
07.03.26WC
France W4
Poland W1
L
03.03.26WC
Poland W2
Netherlands W2
D
02.12.25FI
Poland W3
Latvia W0
W
28.11.25FI
Poland W1
Slovenia W0
W
28.10.25FI
Wales W2
Poland W5
W
24.10.25FI
Poland W0
Netherlands W0
D
12.07.25EUR
Poland W3
Denmark W2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 9th June 2026, Netherlands W host Poland W in Euro WCQ Women. We recommend Netherlands W to win as the standout selection.

Netherlands W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Poland W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Netherlands W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Poland W's 1, with 2 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: netherlands w to win at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Euro WCQ Women match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.18. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Netherlands W vs Poland W?
Our selection is 1 — Netherlands W to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 48%.
What is Netherlands W's current form?
Netherlands W have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Poland W been performing recently?
Poland W have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Netherlands W lead with 1 wins versus Poland W's 1, with 2 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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