LOST Tip LOST Denbigh 3-2 Airbus
D

Denbigh

Home
W L L L L
4W 0D 6L ▲ Improving
VS
3-2
A
Airbus
Away
W W W W W
10W 0D 0L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 20th March 2026
2
Backing Airbus to win
Denbigh 20%
Draw 30%
Airbus 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 81.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -16.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Airbus to win
1.23
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals85% Airbus Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Denbigh vs Airbus Competition: Wales Cymru North Date: Friday, 20th March 2026 Pick: 2 (Airbus to win) Odds: 1.23 Confidence: 65% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: Airbus Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Denbigh
1
Draws
5
Airbus
10
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Neutral Airbus won 5 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Denbigh
Metric
Airbus
1.4
Goals For / Game
3.6
2
Goals Against / Game
0.4
10%
Clean Sheets
60%
4-0-6
W — D — L
10-0-0
Win Rate
40%
100%
3.7
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
D0
0-0 2.5%
0-1 6.9%
0-2 9.7%
0-3 9.1%
0-4 6.3%
0-5 3.6%
D1
1-0 2.2%
1-1 6.2%
1-2 8.7%
1-3 8.1%
1-4 5.7%
1-5 3.2%
D2
2-0 1.0%
2-1 2.8%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 3.7%
2-4 2.6%
2-5 1.4%
D3
3-0 0.3%
3-1 0.8%
3-2 1.2%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.4%
D4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
D5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-2(9.7%) 0-3(9.1%) 1-2(8.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Denbigh Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Airbus Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Denbigh
Overall
4.0
Scoring
4.7
Defence
3.3
Airbus
Overall
10.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
8.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Away Win & BTTS No 36%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 57%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.11.25
FAW: Airbus UK2
Denbigh Town3
08.11.24
FAW: Denbigh Town0
Airbus UK4
26.07.24
FAW: Airbus UK7
Denbigh Town0
02.03.24
FAW: Airbus UK3
Denbigh Town1
08.09.23
FAW: Denbigh Town2
Airbus UK0
16.03.19
CA: Denbigh Town2
Airbus UK3
03.11.18
CA: Airbus UK2
Denbigh Town0
17.03.18
CA: Airbus UK1
Denbigh Town1
17.11.17
CA: Denbigh Town3
Airbus UK1
20.10.15
CUP: Denbigh Town2
Airbus UK1
Recent Form
Denbigh
13.03.26
FAW: Buckley1
Denbigh Town4
W
06.03.26
FAW: Denbigh0
Brickfield1
L
27.02.26
FAW: Holywell5
Denbigh Town1
L
20.02.26
FAW: Llandudno4
Denbigh Town0
L
07.02.26
FAW: Mold Alexandra2
Denbigh Town1
L
30.01.26
FAW: Flint Mountain1
Denbigh Town0
L
24.01.26
FAW: Denbigh Town1
Newtown0
W
20.01.26
FAW: Denbigh Town3
Guilsfield2
W
17.01.26
FAW: Brickfield1
Denbigh Town2
W
01.01.26
FAW: Denbigh Town2
Gresford3
L
Airbus
13.03.26
FAW: Airbus UK8
Mold Alexandra0
W
10.03.26
FAW: Brickfield0
Airbus UK5
W
07.03.26
FAW: Caersws FC1
Airbus UK2
W
28.02.26
FAW: Airbus UK3
Buckley0
W
25.02.26
FAW: Ruthin0
Airbus UK4
W
14.02.26
FAW: Rhyl1
Airbus UK3
W
31.01.26
FAW: Airbus UK4
Penrhyncoch0
W
23.01.26
FAW: Airbus UK2
Gresford1
W
10.01.26
FAW: Holyhead0
Airbus UK2
W
01.01.26
FAW: Airbus UK3
Flint Mountain1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 20th March 2026, Denbigh host Airbus in Wales Cymru North. We recommend Airbus to win as the standout selection.

Denbigh arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Airbus are travelling well, with a record of 10W 0D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Denbigh, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Airbus's 5, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: airbus to win at odds of 1.23 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Wales Cymru North match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.23. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Denbigh vs Airbus?
Our selection is 2 — Airbus to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Denbigh's current form?
Denbigh have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Airbus been performing recently?
Airbus have recorded 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Denbigh lead with 4 wins versus Airbus's 5, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.