WON Tip WON Denmark 4-0 North Macedonia
D

Denmark

Home
L D W W W
6W 2D 2L → Steady
VS
4-0
N
North Macedonia
Away
L D D D W
3W 5D 2L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Thursday, 26th March 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 87% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
1
Denmark
1
Draws
1
North Macedonia
3
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 67% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Denmark
Metric
North Macedonia
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.2
50%
Clean Sheets
50%
6-2-2
W — D — L
3-5-2
Win Rate
60%
30%
3.3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
D0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
D1
1-0 7.4%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 6.7%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
D2
2-0 7.0%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
D3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
D4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.9%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
D5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(10.0%) 2-1(9.5%) 1-0(7.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Denmark
Overall
6.6
Scoring
8.7
Defence
5.7
North Macedonia
Overall
4.5
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
06.02.13
FI: North Macedonia3
Denmark0
25.04.95
EUR: Denmark1
North Macedonia0
06.09.94
EUR: North Macedonia1
Denmark1
Recent Form
Denmark
18.11.25
WCQ: Scotland4
Denmark2
L
15.11.25
WCQ: Denmark2
Belarus2
D
12.10.25
WCQ: Denmark3
Greece1
W
09.10.25
WCQ: Belarus0
Denmark6
W
08.09.25
WCQ: Greece0
Denmark3
W
05.09.25
WCQ: Denmark0
Scotland0
D
10.06.25
FI: Denmark5
Lithuania0
W
07.06.25
FI: Denmark2
Northern Ireland1
W
23.03.25
UNL: Portugal5
Denmark2
L
20.03.25
UNL: Denmark1
Portugal0
W
North Macedonia
18.11.25
WCQ: Wales7
North Macedonia1
L
13.11.25
FI: North Macedonia0
Latvia0
D
13.10.25
WCQ: North Macedonia1
Kazakhstan1
D
10.10.25
WCQ: Belgium0
North Macedonia0
D
07.09.25
WCQ: North Macedonia5
Liechtenstein0
W
04.09.25
FI: Saudi Arabia2
North Macedonia1
L
09.06.25
WCQ: Kazakhstan0
North Macedonia1
W
06.06.25
WCQ: North Macedonia1
Belgium1
D
25.03.25
WCQ: North Macedonia1
Wales1
D
22.03.25
WCQ: Liechtenstein0
North Macedonia3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 26th March 2026, Denmark host North Macedonia in Euro World Cup Qualifier. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Denmark arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

North Macedonia are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 5D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Denmark, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to North Macedonia's 1, with 1 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.15 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Euro World Cup Qualifier match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 1.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.15. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Denmark vs North Macedonia?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 81%.
What is Denmark's current form?
Denmark have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has North Macedonia been performing recently?
North Macedonia have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Denmark lead with 1 wins versus North Macedonia's 1, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
⚠️
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