LOST Tip LOST Ireland U21 1-1 Moldova U21
I

Ireland U21

Home
L L D W W
4W 2D 4L โ–ฒ Improving
VS
1-1
M
Moldova U21
Away
D L L L L
1W 2D 7L โ–ผ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection ยท Thursday, 26th March 2026
1
Backing Ireland U21 to win
Ireland U21 50%
Draw 30%
Moldova U21 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 82.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -27.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ€” Ireland U21 to win
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals80%
๐Ÿ“‹ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Ireland U21 vs Moldova U21 Competition: Euro U21 Qualification Date: Thursday, 26th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Ireland U21 to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 55% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
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Head to Head
Record
1
Ireland U21
0
Draws
0
Moldova U21
1
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Ireland U21 won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Ireland U21
Metric
Moldova U21
1.1
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.8
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-2-4
W โ€” D โ€” L
1-2-7
Win Rate
40%
10%
2.7
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
I0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 8.5%
0-2 5.1%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
I1
1-0 10.2%
1-1 12.3%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
I2
2-0 7.4%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
I3
3-0 3.6%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
I4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
I5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.2%) 2-1(8.9%) 2-0(7.4%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts tip I=Home goals โ†“   M=Away โ†’
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Ireland U21 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Moldova U21 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Ireland U21
Overall
4.6 โ€”
Scoring
3.7 โ€”
Defence
5.0 โ€”
Moldova U21
Overall
1.6 โ–ฒ
Scoring
3.0 โ–ฒ
Defence
4.0 โ–ฒ
๐Ÿ”€
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
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Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.09.25
EUR: Moldova U211
Ireland U212
Recent Form
Ireland U21
18.11.25
EUR: Andorra U214
Ireland U210
L
14.11.25
EUR: England U212
Ireland U210
L
10.10.25
EUR: Ireland U212
Slovakia U212
D
09.09.25
EUR: Ireland U211
Andorra U210
W
04.09.25
EUR: Moldova U211
Ireland U212
W
10.06.25
FI: Ireland U210
Qatar U230
D
06.06.25
FI: Croatia U211
Ireland U210
L
24.03.25
FI: Hungary U211
Ireland U213
W
21.03.25
FI: Ireland U210
Scotland U212
L
17.11.24
FI: Ireland U213
Sweden U212
W
Moldova U21
17.11.25
EUR: Kazakhstan U211
Moldova U211
D
13.11.25
FI: Moldova U210
Albania U211
L
14.10.25
EUR: Slovakia U212
Moldova U210
L
10.10.25
EUR: Moldova U210
England U214
L
09.09.25
EUR: Moldova U212
Slovakia U213
L
04.09.25
EUR: Moldova U211
Ireland U212
L
10.06.25
EUR: Moldova U213
Andorra U210
W
25.03.25
FI: Moldova U211
Kosovo U212
L
22.03.25
FI: Moldova U210
Azerbaijan U212
L
20.03.25
FI: Moldova U211
Northern Ireland U211
D
๐Ÿ“
Match Analysis
Writeup

Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Euro U21 Qualification match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.21. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ireland U21 vs Moldova U21?
Our selection is 1 โ€” Ireland U21 to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Ireland U21's current form?
Ireland U21 have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Moldova U21 been performing recently?
Moldova U21 have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ireland U21 lead with 1 wins versus Moldova U21's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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