D
Dunav Ruse
Home
L
D
D
D
L
2W 4D 4L
→ Steady
VS
—
5:00 pm
—
Gradski stadion (Ruse)
L
Ludogorets
Away
L
W
W
W
D
5W 2D 2L
▼ Declining
Dunav Ruse
20%
Draw
30%
Ludogorets
50%
H Fair Odds
5
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
2
Implied Prob
76.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-19.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Ludogorets to win
1.30
Under 2.5 Goals63%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets
Competition: Bulgaria EFBET League
Date: Monday, 27th July 2026
KO: 5:00 pm
Pick: 2 (Ludogorets to win)
Odds: 1.30
Confidence: 57%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (63%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Dunav Ruse
2
Draws
7
Ludogorets
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Ludogorets won 7 of 10 meetings.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Dunav Ruse
Metric
Ludogorets
1.2
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.1
20%
Clean Sheets
44%
2-4-4
W — D — L
5-2-2
Win Rate
2.6
Avg Goals
63%
Over 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
D0
0-0
7.4%
0-1
10.8%
0-2
7.8%
0-3
3.8%
0-4
1.4%
0-5
0.4%
D1
1-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.0%
1-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
D2
2-0
4.9%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
D3
3-0
1.9%
3-1
2.7%
3-2
2.0%
3-3
1.0%
3-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
D4
4-0
0.5%
4-1
0.8%
4-2
0.6%
4-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
D5
5-0
0.1%
5-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
0-1(10.8%)
1-2(9.0%)
0-2(7.8%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
D=Home goals ↓ L=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Dunav Ruse Win
5
20%
Draw
3.33
30%
Ludogorets Win
2
50%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
10%
Home Win & BTTS No
9%
Draw & BTTS Yes
16%
Draw & BTTS No
14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
27%
Away Win & BTTS No
24%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
7%
Home Win & Under 2.5
12%
Draw & Over 2.5
11%
Draw & Under 2.5
19%
Away Win & Over 2.5
19%
Away Win & Under 2.5
32%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Ludogorets4
Dunav Ruse0
Ludogorets5
Dunav Ruse1
Dunav Ruse0
Ludogorets1
Dunav Ruse0
Ludogorets2
Ludogorets3
Dunav Ruse1
Ludogorets2
Dunav Ruse0
Dunav Ruse0
Ludogorets5
Dunav Ruse2
Ludogorets2
Ludogorets0
Dunav Ruse1
Ludogorets2
Dunav Ruse2
Recent Form
Dunav Ruse
Levski Sofia2
Dunav Ruse1
Cherno More1
Dunav Ruse1
Dunav Ruse1
Dobrudzha1
Spartak Varna0
Dunav Ruse0
Dunav Ruse1
Lok. Gorna2
Minyor Pernik1
Dunav Ruse2
Dunav Ruse0
Yantra Gabrovo1
Fratria2
Dunav Ruse2
Dunav Ruse2
Sevlievo0
Svoge3
Dunav Ruse2
Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
Ludogorets0
Ludogorets1
Lok. Plovdiv0
Ludogorets1
Teuta0
Ludogorets1
Septemvri Sofia0
Ludogorets2
FC Botosani2
Ludogorets7
Etar4
Ludogorets1
CSKA Sofia0
CSKA 1948 Sofia1
Ludogorets0
Ludogorets1
Levski Sofia1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Monday, 27th July 2026, Dunav Ruse host Ludogorets at Gradski stadion (Ruse) in Bulgaria EFBET League. We recommend Ludogorets to win as the standout selection.
Dunav Ruse arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Ludogorets are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 2L across 9 matches.
Historical meetings favour Dunav Ruse, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Ludogorets's 7, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.
Our verdict: ludogorets to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Bulgaria EFBET League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.30, sitting at roughly 20,30,50% in our model. The match gets going at 5:00 pm over at Gradski stadion (Ruse).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets?
Our selection is 2 — Ludogorets to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Dunav Ruse's current form?
Dunav Ruse have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ludogorets been performing recently?
Ludogorets have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dunav Ruse lead with 1 wins versus Ludogorets's 7, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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