T
Tukums 2000
Home
L
L
L
L
L
1W 1D 8L
▼ Declining
VS
—
4:00 pm
—
Tukuma pilsētas stadions (Tukums)
R
RFS
Away
W
W
W
W
W
8W 1D 1L
→ Steady
Tukums 2000
20%
Draw
20%
RFS
60%
H Fair Odds
5
D Fair Odds
5
A Fair Odds
1.67
Implied Prob
87.7%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-10.7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — RFS to win
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals70%
Over 1.5 Goals95%
BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Tukums 2000 vs RFS
Competition: Latvia Virsliga
Date: Monday, 27th July 2026
KO: 4:00 pm
Pick: 2 (RFS to win)
Odds: 1.14
Confidence: 77%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%)
Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Tukums 2000
0
Draws
10
RFS
10
Meetings
4.6
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
RFS won 10 of 10 meetings.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Tukums 2000
Metric
RFS
1.1
Goals For / Game
2.4
2.5
Goals Against / Game
0.6
0%
Clean Sheets
50%
1-1-8
W — D — L
8-1-1
Win Rate
3.3
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
T0
0-0
3.7%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
11.1%
0-3
9.0%
0-4
5.5%
0-5
2.7%
T1
1-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
1-2
9.4%
1-3
7.7%
1-4
4.7%
1-5
2.3%
T2
2-0
1.3%
2-1
3.3%
2-2
4.0%
2-3
3.3%
2-4
2.0%
2-5
1.0%
T3
3-0
0.4%
3-1
0.9%
3-2
1.1%
3-3
0.9%
3-4
0.6%
3-5
0.3%
T4
4-0
0.1%
4-1
0.2%
4-2
0.2%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.1%
T5
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
0-2(11.1%)
1-2(9.4%)
0-1(9.0%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
T=Home goals ↓ R=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Tukums 2000 Win
5
20%
Draw
5
20%
RFS Win
1.67
60%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
7%
Home Win & BTTS No
3%
Draw & BTTS Yes
7%
Draw & BTTS No
3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
56%
Away Win & BTTS No
24%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
7%
Home Win & Under 2.5
3%
Draw & Over 2.5
7%
Draw & Under 2.5
3%
Away Win & Over 2.5
56%
Away Win & Under 2.5
24%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
RFS3
Tukums 20001
Tukums 20001
RFS2
Tukums 20002
RFS4
RFS6
Tukums 20002
Tukums 20002
RFS5
RFS2
Tukums 20000
RFS4
Tukums 20001
Tukums 20001
RFS4
Tukums 20000
RFS1
RFS5
Tukums 20000
Recent Form
Tukums 2000
Riga FC3
Tukums 20001
Tukums 20001
Super Nova2
Grobina3
Tukums 20001
Tukums 20001
Super Nova2
Ogre United3
Tukums 20002
Jelgava4
Tukums 20001
Tukums 20002
Auda1
Tukums 20001
BFC Daugavpils1
FK Liepaja3
Tukums 20000
RFS3
Tukums 20001
RFS
RFS4
Vestri1
Jelgava0
RFS1
RFS2
Glentoran0
RFS2
Jelgava0
Glentoran1
RFS2
RFS1
Auda1
RFS3
BFC Daugavpils1
FK Liepaja0
RFS2
RFS6
Ogre United0
Riga FC2
RFS1
Tukums 2000 (Home)
Tukums 20001
Super Nova2
Tukums 20001
Super Nova2
Tukums 20002
Auda1
Tukums 20001
BFC Daugavpils1
Tukums 20001
Riga FC3
Tukums 20006
Ogre United1
Tukums 20005
Jelgava0
Tukums 20001
BFC Daugavpils1
Tukums 20002
FK Liepaja2
Tukums 20001
RFS2
RFS (Away)
Jelgava0
RFS1
Glentoran1
RFS2
FK Liepaja0
RFS2
Riga FC2
RFS1
Grobina1
RFS3
Super Nova1
RFS2
Auda0
RFS3
BFC Daugavpils0
RFS1
Ogre United3
RFS4
Grobina0
RFS1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Monday, 27th July 2026, Tukums 2000 host RFS at Tukuma pilsētas stadions (Tukums) in Latvia Virsliga. We recommend RFS to win as the standout selection.
Tukums 2000 arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from their last 10 outings.
RFS are travelling well, with a record of 8W 1D 1L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Tukums 2000, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to RFS's 10, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.
Our verdict: rfs to win at odds of 1.14 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Latvia Virsliga match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 5 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 5 wins from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.14, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 4:00 pm over at Tukuma pilsētas stadions (Tukums).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Tukums 2000 vs RFS?
Our selection is 2 — RFS to win, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is Tukums 2000's current form?
Tukums 2000 have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches.
How has RFS been performing recently?
RFS have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Tukums 2000 lead with 0 wins versus RFS's 10, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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