WON Tip WON FC Porto 2-0 Stuttgart
F

FC Porto

Home
W W D L W
6W 2D 2L โ–ผ Declining
VS
2-0
S
Stuttgart
Away
W L D W L
5W 2D 3L โ–ฒ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection ยท Thursday, 19th March 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 80.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +11.4% Value detected
Kelly % 58.7% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 โ€” over 1.5 goals
1.24
Over 2.5 Goals70%
๐Ÿ“‹ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
FC Porto vs Stuttgart Competition: UEFA Europa League Date: Thursday, 19th March 2026 Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.24 Confidence: 92% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%)
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Head to Head
Record
1
FC Porto
0
Draws
0
Stuttgart
1
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H.
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Stats Duel
Comparison
FC Porto
Metric
Stuttgart
1.7
Goals For / Game
2.2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.2
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-2-2
W โ€” D โ€” L
5-2-3
Win Rate
60%
50%
3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
F0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 7.7%
0-2 6.0%
0-3 3.1%
0-4 1.2%
0-5 0.4%
F1
1-0 7.2%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 8.7%
1-3 4.5%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.5%
F2
2-0 5.2%
2-1 8.1%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 3.3%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
F3
3-0 2.5%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
F4
4-0 0.9%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
F5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(11.2%) 1-2(8.7%) 2-1(8.1%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts tip F=Home goals โ†“   S=Away โ†’
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Team Ratings
Grades
FC Porto
Overall
6.6 โ€”
Scoring
5.7 โ€”
Defence
7.0 โ€”
Stuttgart
Overall
5.6 โ–ฒ
Scoring
7.3 โ–ฒ
Defence
6.0 โ–ฒ
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Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
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Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
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Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.03.26
EL: Stuttgart1
FC Porto2
Recent Form
FC Porto
15.03.26
LP: FC Porto3
Moreirense0
W
12.03.26
EL: Stuttgart1
FC Porto2
W
08.03.26
LP: Benfica2
FC Porto2
D
03.03.26
TP: Sporting CP1
FC Porto0
L
27.02.26
LP: FC Porto3
Arouca1
W
22.02.26
LP: FC Porto1
Rio Ave0
W
15.02.26
LP: Nacional0
FC Porto1
W
09.02.26
LP: FC Porto1
Sporting CP1
D
02.02.26
LP: Casa Pia2
FC Porto1
L
29.01.26
EL: FC Porto3
Rangers1
W
Stuttgart
15.03.26
BUN: Stuttgart1
RB Leipzig0
W
12.03.26
EL: Stuttgart1
FC Porto2
L
07.03.26
BUN: Mainz2
Stuttgart2
D
01.03.26
BUN: Stuttgart4
Wolfsburg0
W
26.02.26
EL: Stuttgart0
Celtic1
L
22.02.26
BUN: Heidenheim3
Stuttgart3
D
19.02.26
EL: Celtic1
Stuttgart4
W
14.02.26
BUN: Stuttgart3
FC Koln1
W
07.02.26
BUN: St. Pauli2
Stuttgart1
L
04.02.26
POK: Holstein Kiel0
Stuttgart3
W
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 19th March 2026, FC Porto host Stuttgart in UEFA Europa League. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

FC Porto arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Stuttgart are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour FC Porto, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Stuttgart's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.24 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming UEFA Europa League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team. Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now. Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong. On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold. Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 1.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at 1.24. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FC Porto vs Stuttgart?
Our selection is Over 1.5 โ€” over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 92%.
What is FC Porto's current form?
FC Porto have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Stuttgart been performing recently?
Stuttgart have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FC Porto lead with 1 wins versus Stuttgart's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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